The sizzling Golden State Warriors bring their red-hot momentum to FedExForum Tuesday night as they face a Memphis Grizzlies squad struggling to maintain their playoff positioning amid a troubling 2-8 stretch over their last ten games.
Stephen Curry's Warriors, winners of 16 of their last 19 contests, look to capitalize on their offensive firepower against a Grizzlies defense that has surrendered 125+ points in half of their recent games—a vulnerability that could prove decisive for a Golden State team that just hung 148 points on San Antonio.
This Western Conference showdown features a Memphis Grizzlies home team desperate to right the ship against a Golden State Warriors away team that's hitting its stride at the perfect time heading toward the postseason.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 64.75% chance of defeating the Grizzlies.
Pre-game probabilities
Golden State Warriors
Moneyline
Win %
64.75%
35.25%
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors: 64.75% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (8190 points allowed compared to Grizzlies' 8782)
- Better recent form (WWLLW vs Grizzlies' LLLWL showing Warriors are hitting stride at the right time)
- More consistent performance throughout the season (43-31 record despite playing one fewer game than Memphis)
Memphis Grizzlies: 35.25% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLWL indicates a team struggling to maintain consistency)
- Defensive struggles (8782 points allowed, significantly more than Warriors' 8190)
- Scoring inefficiency (9146 points scored but only translated to 44 wins, suggesting empty offensive production)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Memphis Grizzlies | Golden State Warriors | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors preview
The red-hot Warriors roll into FedExForum riding a wave of momentum after obliterating the Spurs 148-106, looking to maintain their grip on the sixth seed and avoid the dreaded play-in tournament.
Stephen Curry continues to lead Golden State's offensive attack with 24 points per game, but it's been the acquisition of Jimmy Butler and the emergence of rookie Brandin Podziemski (who dropped 27 points against San Antonio) that's sparked the Warriors to win 16 of their last 19 games.
Memphis, meanwhile, finds themselves in a tailspin, dropping five of their last six contests and dealing with organizational turmoil after recently firing their head coach—not ideal circumstances when facing a Warriors squad that's finally hitting their stride.
Despite their recent struggles, the Grizzlies' high-octane offense (122.2 PPG, 2nd in NBA) behind Jaren Jackson Jr. and Ja Morant remains dangerous, especially at home where they're 25-12 this season.
The Grizzlies might be playing tired legs too, as they're on the second night of a back-to-back after facing the Celtics at home Monday night.
While Memphis owns an impressive 10-3 record in the second game of back-to-backs this season, they've been hemorrhaging points lately, allowing 125+ in five of their last ten games entering Monday.
Golden State's supporting cast could be the difference-maker, especially if Jonathan Kuminga (questionable with a pelvic contusion) is available to complement their league-leading three-point attack (15.3 triples per game).
This Western Conference showdown has serious playoff seeding implications, with Memphis trying to maintain their fifth spot while Golden State looks to create separation from Minnesota in the battle to avoid the play-in tournament.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors form
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors head to head
Memphis Grizzlies
17%
Golden State Warriors
83%
Jan 5, 2025
Golden State Warriors
121 : 113
Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 20, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
144 : 93
Golden State Warriors
Nov 16, 2024
Golden State Warriors
123 : 118
Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 21, 2024
Golden State Warriors
137 : 116
Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 3, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
101 : 121
Golden State Warriors
Jan 15, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
116 : 107
Golden State Warriors
