The State Farm Arena will host a clash of teams heading in opposite directions on Tuesday night, with the Hawks riding high after winning eight of their last 12 games while Portland limps in on a four-game losing skid.
Trae Young's playmaking could prove decisive against a depleted Trail Blazers squad potentially missing key contributors Anfernee Simons and Jerami Grant, though Deni Avdija's recent 33-point outburst shows Portland still has offensive firepower.
With Atlanta's high-powered offense (fifth in NBA scoring) facing Portland's middling defense, expect a potential shootout when the home team Hawks battle the away team Trail Blazers in this cross-conference showdown.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Portland Trail Blazers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 62.25% chance of defeating the Blazers.
Pre-game probabilities
Atlanta Hawks
Moneyline
Win %
62.25%
37.75%
Portland Trail Blazers
Atlanta Hawks: 62.25% win probability
- Superior offensive production (8722 points scored this season)
- Better recent form (WLLWW) with 3 wins in last 5 games
- Higher standing in conference (7th in East vs 12th in West)
Portland Trail Blazers: 37.75% win probability
- Poor recent performance (LLLLW with only 1 win in last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (allowed 8577 points, ranking in bottom half of league)
- Road game disadvantage (32-43 overall record shows struggle away from home)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Atlanta Hawks | Portland Trail Blazers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Best NBA sportsbook promos
Atlanta Hawks vs. Portland Trail Blazers preview
The struggling Trail Blazers limp into State Farm Arena riding a four-game losing skid, desperately clinging to fading playoff hopes as they sit 4.5 games out of the final play-in spot with just seven games left on their schedule.
Meanwhile, the Hawks have caught fire at the right time, winning eight of their last twelve contests to cement their position in the Eastern Conference play-in picture.
Portland's offensive woes have been magnified by a brutal injury situation – they'll be without Scoot Henderson and possibly Anfernee Simons, leaving Deni Avdija (who exploded for 33 points against the Knicks on Sunday) to shoulder a massive offensive load.
Atlanta's high-powered offense, ranking fifth in the NBA at 117.9 points per game, has been fueled by the elite playmaking of Trae Young (24.1 points, 11.5 assists) and the recent emergence of rookie Zaccharie Risacher, who torched Milwaukee for 36 points in their last outing.
Though Portland squeezed out a 114-110 victory in their November matchup, Atlanta's home court advantage could prove decisive – the home team has incredibly won 14 of the last 15 meetings between these franchises.
Defense might be optional Tuesday night with both teams ranking in the bottom third of the league in points allowed, setting up what could be a high-scoring affair that features plenty of transition opportunities.
For Portland to have any shot, they'll need another heroic performance from Avdija plus significant contributions from role players like Shaedon Sharpe, who dropped 23 points in their recent loss to New York.
State Farm Arena should be rocking as Young and company look to continue their playoff push while delivering a potential knockout blow to Portland's already slim postseason aspirations.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Portland Trail Blazers form
Atlanta Hawks vs. Portland Trail Blazers head to head
Atlanta Hawks
40%
Portland Trail Blazers
60%
Apr 1, 2025
Atlanta Hawks
0 : 0
Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 17, 2024
Portland Trail Blazers
114 : 110
Atlanta Hawks
Mar 27, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
120 : 106
Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 14, 2024
Portland Trail Blazers
106 : 102
Atlanta Hawks
Mar 4, 2023
Atlanta Hawks
129 : 111
Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 31, 2023
Portland Trail Blazers
129 : 125
Atlanta Hawks
