The surging Boston Celtics aim for their tenth straight victory when they host a suddenly rejuvenated Miami Heat squad riding their own five-game win streak on Wednesday night at TD Garden.
With Boston having swept the first three meetings this season by comfortable margins, Miami must somehow overcome their poor record against Atlantic Division opponents and the potential absence of key contributors like Andrew Wiggins to avoid another lopsided result.
All eyes will be on the matchup between Miami's Bam Adebayo, coming off a 28-point performance against Washington, and Boston's formidable frontcourt as the Boston Celtics host the Miami Heat in what could be a playoff preview.
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat matchup, our predictive model gives the Celtics a 85% chance of defeating the Heat.
Boston Celtics: 85% win probability
- Elite offensive production (8766 points scored in 75 games)
- Outstanding defensive efficiency (8077 points allowed, second-best in the East)
- Perfect recent form with five straight wins (WWWWW)
Miami Heat: 15% win probability
- Inconsistent scoring output (8223 points in 75 games, below average for playoff teams)
- Struggling road record as 9th place team facing 2nd place opponent
- Significant point differential disadvantage (+541 for Celtics vs -19 for Heat)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat odds
Here are the latest odds for Wednesday, April 02, as the Boston Celtics host the Miami Heat in this exciting NBA matchup.
Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -575 (via bet365 US) | +450 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat preview
The red-hot Celtics host the Miami Heat on Wednesday night in a clash that could further cement Boston's dominant position in the East as they ride a nine-game winning streak into TD Garden.
Miami comes in with momentum of their own, having strung together five consecutive victories, but they'll face their toughest test yet against a Celtics squad that has swept all three previous matchups this season.
Jayson Tatum continues his All-NBA caliber campaign, dropping 25+ points in five straight games, while the surprising resurgence of 38-year-old Al Horford (who poured in 26 points against Memphis) gives Boston even more firepower.
For the Heat, Bam Adebayo has stepped up magnificently in Jimmy Butler's absence, coming off a 28-point, 12-rebound performance against Washington, but he'll have his hands full against Boston's formidable interior defense.
Tyler Herro's outside shooting will be crucial for Miami to keep pace with the league's top-ranked offense, though the Heat will sorely miss Andrew Wiggins' length and athleticism in containing Boston's dynamic wing duo.
The injury report looms large for both teams – Miami's missing Wiggins, Love, Jovic and Robinson, while Boston has several game-time decisions including Brown, Horford, Holiday and Porzingis.
Despite their depth concerns, the Celtics' remarkable two-way efficiency (1st in offense, 4th in defense) makes them the clear favorites on their home court.
If history repeats itself, we're likely in for another commanding Boston performance, though Miami's recent form suggests they won't go down without a fight.
Key stats
- 1Boston Celtics are 2nd in the Eastern Conference with a 56-19 record, showing excellent consistency
- 2Miami Heat are 9th in the Eastern Conference with a 34-41 record, sitting just outside playoff positions
- 3Celtics are on a perfect 5-game winning streak (WWWWW) while Heat have also won 5 straight (WWWWW)
- 4Boston has a vastly superior scoring differential at +689 compared to Miami's -19, suggesting stronger overall performance
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat form


Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat head to head
Boston Celtics
0%
Miami Heat
100%
Apr 2, 2025
Boston Celtics
0 : 0
Miami Heat
Mar 14, 2025
Miami Heat
91 : 103
Boston Celtics
Feb 11, 2025
Miami Heat
85 : 103
Boston Celtics
Dec 3, 2024
Boston Celtics
108 : 89
Miami Heat
Jul 13, 2024
Boston Celtics
114 : 119
Miami Heat
May 1, 2024
Boston Celtics
118 : 84
Miami Heat
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