The scorching Toronto Maple Leafs, riding a two-game win streak and currently sitting atop the Atlantic Division with a 45-25-4 record, welcome the dangerous Florida Panthers (44-26-4) to Scotiabank Arena in what promises to be a high-octane offensive battle between two of the NHL's elite squads.

Both teams bring impressive firepower – Toronto averaging 3.26 goals per game behind the lethal combination of Marner and Nylander, while Florida counters with Barkov and Reinhart leading a group scoring 3.12 goals per contest – though the goaltending battle between Stolarz (sporting a stellar .919 save percentage) and Bobrovsky (2.44 GAA) might ultimately determine who claims victory.

With Toronto's home ice advantage potentially tipping the scales in what should be a tight contest full of playoff intensity, all eyes will be on whether the high-flying Maple Leafs can maintain their division lead against the Panthers in this must-watch matchup between home team and away team.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 55% chance of defeating the Panthers.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 55% win probability

  • Explosive offensive power (242 goals scored this season)
  • Better conference standing (3rd place with 94 points)
  • Strong recent form (WWLWL in last five games)

Florida Panthers: 45% win probability

  • Recent slump in form (LLWWL in last five games)
  • Slightly lower scoring output (235 goals vs Toronto's 242)
  • Road team disadvantage (playing away from home arena)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL showdown as the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Florida Panthers on Wednesday, April 02.

Toronto Maple LeafsFlorida Panthers
Moneyline-120 (via bet365 US)+102 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers preview

The Atlantic Division heavyweights clash tomorrow night as the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Florida Panthers in what promises to be a high-octane affair at Scotiabank Arena.

Toronto enters on a two-game win streak, most recently edging the Ducks 3-2, while Florida looks to bounce back after a disappointing 4-2 loss to Montreal.

The Leafs' offensive firepower has been on full display lately, netting 18 goals in their last four games with the dynamic duo of Mitch Marner and William Nylander combining for an impressive 65 goals and 105 assists this season.

Florida's defensive prowess, allowing just 2.71 goals per game, will be tested by Toronto's league-leading power play conversion rate of 26.24%.

Keep an eye on Panthers' netminder Sergei Bobrovsky who brings his 2.44 GAA against Toronto's Anthony Stolarz, whose .919 save percentage has been crucial to the Leafs' success.

The battle between Aleksander Barkov and Auston Matthews in the faceoff circle could ultimately determine which team gains the crucial offensive zone advantage.

Both squads sit neck-and-neck in the standings with Toronto's 94 points just edging Florida's 91, adding playoff-like intensity to this late-season showdown.

I'm expecting a tight contest where special teams could make the difference – don't be surprised if this one needs overtime to decide a winner.

Key stats

  • 1
    Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers are almost evenly matched, positioned 3rd and 5th in Eastern Conference with just 2 points separating them (94 vs 92)
  • 2
    The Maple Leafs have a slightly better goal difference (+23) compared to Panthers (+34), though Florida has conceded fewer goals (201 vs 219)
  • 3
    Recent form indicates similar patterns with Toronto at WWLWL and Florida at LLWWL, both winning 3 of their last 5 matches
  • 4
    Both teams have identical records with 74 games played, 44/45 wins, and 25/26 losses, suggesting a very tight contest

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 31, 2025
Anaheim Ducks2:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 29, 2025
Los Angeles Kings1:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 28, 2025
San Jose Sharks6:5Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 25, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers2:7Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 22, 2025
Nashville Predators5:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers
Latest matches
D
L
W
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 1, 2025
Montreal Canadiens0:0Florida Panthers
Mar 30, 2025
Montreal Canadiens4:2Florida Panthers
Mar 28, 2025
Utah Hockey Club1:2Florida Panthers
Mar 23, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins3:4Florida Panthers
Mar 22, 2025
Washington Capitals6:3Florida Panthers

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

33%

Florida Panthers

67%

Mar 13, 2025

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 3

Florida Panthers

Nov 28, 2024

Florida Panthers

5 : 1

Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 16, 2024

Florida Panthers

5 : 2

Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 1, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

6 : 4

Florida Panthers

Nov 29, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 1

Florida Panthers

Oct 19, 2023

Florida Panthers

3 : 1

Toronto Maple Leafs