The Dallas Mavericks welcome the Atlanta Hawks to American Airlines Center in what promises to be a pivotal showdown between two teams desperately clinging to play-in tournament spots.
While Luka Doncic's Mavs look to build on their recent 4-2 stretch despite missing Kyrie Irving's offensive firepower, the Hawks bring the league's fifth-ranked offense led by Trae Young's 24.1 points and 11.5 assists per game into a matchup where defensive struggles could determine the outcome.
Recent history gives a slight edge to the Mavericks who defeated the Hawks 129-119 in their only previous meeting this season, setting the stage for what should be an explosive offensive affair between Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Mavericks vs Atlanta Hawks matchup, our predictive model gives the Mavs a 54.33% chance of defeating the Hawks.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Mavericks
Moneyline
Win %
54.33%
45.67%
Atlanta Hawks
Dallas Mavericks: 54.33% win probability
- Higher offensive output (8731 points scored compared to Hawks' 8835 despite playing one more game)
- Better win percentage (48.7% vs 48% for the Hawks)
- Stronger recent form (LWWLW vs Hawks' LWLLW, showing better momentum in recent games)
Atlanta Hawks: 45.67% win probability
- Poor defensive record (8966 points conceded, one of the highest in the Eastern Conference)
- Road game disadvantage (playing away against a Western Conference team that performs well at home)
- Inconsistent performance (recent form shows alternating wins and losses, suggesting lack of stability)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Dallas Mavericks | Atlanta Hawks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Best NBA sportsbook promos
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks preview
The Dallas Mavericks host the Atlanta Hawks at American Airlines Center on Wednesday night in what shapes up as a crucial battle between two teams fighting for play-in tournament positioning.
Both squads are coming off contrasting performances - the Hawks demolished the Bucks 145-124 with rookie Zaccharie Risacher exploding for 36 points, while the Mavs suffered a tough 113-109 loss to Brooklyn after blowing a double-digit lead.
Dallas won their only previous meeting this season 129-119 back in November, but they'll be shorthanded without Kyrie Irving who's sidelined with an ACL tear.
The Hawks boast the NBA's fifth-ranked scoring offense (117.9 PPG) led by Trae Young's 24.1 points and 11.5 assists, but their defensive woes (allowing 119.4 PPG) could prove problematic against a Mavs team that punishes poor defenders.
Daniel Gafford has stepped up for Dallas, coming off a 17-point performance on 7-of-9 shooting against the Nets, while Anthony Davis being listed as probable provides a massive boost for the Mavericks' frontcourt.
History doesn't favor Atlanta in this matchup – the over has hit in 18 of their 28 games against Western Conference opponents this season, suggesting we might see a high-scoring affair.
Expect the well-rested Mavericks, playing on their home court and fighting to solidify their play-in spot, to attack Atlanta's leaky defense (ranked 27th in points allowed) relentlessly.
With Dallas holding a two-game cushion over Phoenix for the West's final play-in spot and Atlanta sitting five games behind Milwaukee for the East's sixth seed, both teams will be desperate for a win in what should be an entertaining, offense-heavy showdown.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks form
Dallas Mavericks vs. Atlanta Hawks head to head
Dallas Mavericks
33%
Atlanta Hawks
67%
Nov 26, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
119 : 129
Dallas Mavericks
Apr 4, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
109 : 95
Atlanta Hawks
Jan 27, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
143 : 148
Dallas Mavericks
Jul 17, 2023
Dallas Mavericks
101 : 80
Atlanta Hawks
Apr 2, 2023
Atlanta Hawks
132 : 130
Dallas Mavericks
Jan 19, 2023
Dallas Mavericks
122 : 130
Atlanta Hawks
