The sizzling Denver Nuggets welcome a battered San Antonio Spurs squad to Ball Arena on Wednesday night in what could be a one-sided affair given the Spurs' recent defensive collapse, allowing 121.8 points per 100 possessions over their last ten outings.

With Victor Wembanyama sidelined and both teams playing on zero rest, Nikola Jokic's dominance in the paint might prove too much for a Spurs team that's dropped four straight and seems completely outmatched.

All eyes will be on whether the league-leading Nuggets' assist machine (31.1 per game) can exploit the defensive gaps when the Denver Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs in this Western Conference showdown.

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 72.5% chance of defeating the Spurs.

Denver Nuggets: 72.5% win probability

  • Explosive offensive output (9205 points scored, 3rd highest in the Western Conference)
  • Strong home court advantage (positioned 3rd in Western Conference with 47 wins)
  • Positive momentum with recent form LWWLW showing 3 wins in last 5 games

San Antonio Spurs: 27.5% win probability

  • Poor recent form (LLLLL indicates five consecutive losses)
  • Struggling defense (8760 points conceded, 5th worst in Western Conference)
  • Road game disadvantage (13th place team with only 31 wins facing 3rd place opponent)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs odds

Here are the current odds for the upcoming NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets hosting the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday, April 02.

Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Moneyline-1200 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+830 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs preview

The Nuggets look to clinch their three-game season series against the struggling Spurs when these Western Conference foes clash at Ball Arena tomorrow night, with both teams facing the challenge of playing on zero rest.

Denver's elite offense, ranked fourth in adjusted efficiency (120.1) and first in assists (31.1 per game), should feast against a San Antonio defense that's been flat-out terrible lately, surrendering at least 122 points in six of their last seven road games.

Nikola Jokić continues his dominance, coming off a monster 27-point, 14-rebound performance against Utah, while the Spurs will desperately miss Victor Wembanyama's 24.3 points and 11 rebounds per game.

San Antonio's bench showed signs of life in their embarrassing loss to Golden State, with Keldon Johnson dropping 19 points on efficient 8-of-13 shooting – their lone bright spot against a Warriors team that absolutely torched them.

The contrast in playing styles could make for an interesting matchup, with Denver loving to operate in the paint while San Antonio ranks eighth in the league in three-point attempt rate.

Denver's home-court advantage (they've won their last two games by an average of 23 points) coupled with San Antonio's pathetic defensive showing during their four-game losing streak makes this feel like a potential blowout in the making.

Watch for the battle of pace as both teams like to push the tempo – Denver averages 100.0 possessions per 48 minutes (5th) while San Antonio isn't far behind at 99.3 (13th).

The Nuggets' lackluster perimeter defense (ranked 21st in opposing three-point percentage) might be the Spurs' only path to keeping this one competitive.

Key stats

  • 1
    Denver Nuggets (3rd in West) show inconsistent form with LWWLW in their last five games
  • 2
    San Antonio Spurs sit 13th in Western Conference with a poor 31-44 record
  • 3
    Nuggets have a much stronger offense, scoring 9205 points compared to Spurs' 8553
  • 4
    Spurs are on a five-game losing streak (LLLLL) while Nuggets won 3 of their last 5

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs form

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 29, 2025
Utah Jazz93:129Denver Nuggets
Mar 27, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks117:127Denver Nuggets
Mar 25, 2025
Chicago Bulls129:119Denver Nuggets
Mar 23, 2025
Houston Rockets111:116Denver Nuggets
Mar 22, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers128:109Denver Nuggets
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 30, 2025
Boston Celtics121:111San Antonio Spurs
Mar 30, 2025
Golden State Warriors148:106San Antonio Spurs
Mar 27, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers124:116San Antonio Spurs
Mar 25, 2025
Detroit Pistons122:96San Antonio Spurs
Mar 23, 2025
Toronto Raptors89:123San Antonio Spurs

Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head

Denver Nuggets

67%

San Antonio Spurs

33%

Jan 5, 2025

San Antonio Spurs

111 : 122

Denver Nuggets

Jan 4, 2025

Denver Nuggets

110 : 113

San Antonio Spurs

Apr 13, 2024

San Antonio Spurs

121 : 120

Denver Nuggets

Apr 3, 2024

Denver Nuggets

110 : 105

San Antonio Spurs

Mar 16, 2024

San Antonio Spurs

106 : 117

Denver Nuggets

Nov 27, 2023

Denver Nuggets

132 : 120

San Antonio Spurs