The sizzling Denver Nuggets welcome a battered San Antonio Spurs squad to Ball Arena on Wednesday night in what could be a one-sided affair given the Spurs' recent defensive collapse, allowing 121.8 points per 100 possessions over their last ten outings.
With Victor Wembanyama sidelined and both teams playing on zero rest, Nikola Jokic's dominance in the paint might prove too much for a Spurs team that's dropped four straight and seems completely outmatched.
All eyes will be on whether the league-leading Nuggets' assist machine (31.1 per game) can exploit the defensive gaps when the Denver Nuggets host the San Antonio Spurs in this Western Conference showdown.
Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 72.5% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Denver Nuggets: 72.5% win probability
- Explosive offensive output (9205 points scored, 3rd highest in the Western Conference)
- Strong home court advantage (positioned 3rd in Western Conference with 47 wins)
- Positive momentum with recent form LWWLW showing 3 wins in last 5 games
San Antonio Spurs: 27.5% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLL indicates five consecutive losses)
- Struggling defense (8760 points conceded, 5th worst in Western Conference)
- Road game disadvantage (13th place team with only 31 wins facing 3rd place opponent)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs odds
Here are the current odds for the upcoming NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets hosting the San Antonio Spurs on Wednesday, April 02.
Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -1200 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | +830 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
The Nuggets look to clinch their three-game season series against the struggling Spurs when these Western Conference foes clash at Ball Arena tomorrow night, with both teams facing the challenge of playing on zero rest.
Denver's elite offense, ranked fourth in adjusted efficiency (120.1) and first in assists (31.1 per game), should feast against a San Antonio defense that's been flat-out terrible lately, surrendering at least 122 points in six of their last seven road games.
Nikola Jokić continues his dominance, coming off a monster 27-point, 14-rebound performance against Utah, while the Spurs will desperately miss Victor Wembanyama's 24.3 points and 11 rebounds per game.
San Antonio's bench showed signs of life in their embarrassing loss to Golden State, with Keldon Johnson dropping 19 points on efficient 8-of-13 shooting – their lone bright spot against a Warriors team that absolutely torched them.
The contrast in playing styles could make for an interesting matchup, with Denver loving to operate in the paint while San Antonio ranks eighth in the league in three-point attempt rate.
Denver's home-court advantage (they've won their last two games by an average of 23 points) coupled with San Antonio's pathetic defensive showing during their four-game losing streak makes this feel like a potential blowout in the making.
Watch for the battle of pace as both teams like to push the tempo – Denver averages 100.0 possessions per 48 minutes (5th) while San Antonio isn't far behind at 99.3 (13th).
The Nuggets' lackluster perimeter defense (ranked 21st in opposing three-point percentage) might be the Spurs' only path to keeping this one competitive.
Key stats
- 1Denver Nuggets (3rd in West) show inconsistent form with LWWLW in their last five games
- 2San Antonio Spurs sit 13th in Western Conference with a poor 31-44 record
- 3Nuggets have a much stronger offense, scoring 9205 points compared to Spurs' 8553
- 4Spurs are on a five-game losing streak (LLLLL) while Nuggets won 3 of their last 5
Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs form


Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Denver Nuggets
67%
San Antonio Spurs
33%
Jan 5, 2025
San Antonio Spurs
111 : 122
Denver Nuggets
Jan 4, 2025
Denver Nuggets
110 : 113
San Antonio Spurs
Apr 13, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
121 : 120
Denver Nuggets
Apr 3, 2024
Denver Nuggets
110 : 105
San Antonio Spurs
Mar 16, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
106 : 117
Denver Nuggets
Nov 27, 2023
Denver Nuggets
132 : 120
San Antonio Spurs
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