The red-hot Houston Rockets (49-27) welcome the injury-plagued Utah Jazz (16-60) to Toyota Center Wednesday night in what could be a serious mismatch given the Jazz have dropped 16 of their last 17 games while playing without key contributors Markkanen, Collins, and potentially Kessler.
Houston's fourth-ranked defense should pose major problems for a Utah squad that's struggled to break 110 points during their six-game losing streak, though the Jazz's eighth-fastest pace in the NBA could create enough possessions to keep things interesting.
The battle on the boards looks particularly lopsided with the Rockets recently dominating the offensive glass (league-best 22.9 second-chance points) against a Jazz team ranked 29th in rim defense as Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz tips off at 8:00 PM EST.
Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz matchup, our predictive model gives the Rockets a 65% chance of defeating the Jazz.
Pre-game probabilities
Houston Rockets
Moneyline
Win %
65%
35%
Utah Jazz
Houston Rockets: 65% win probability
- Strong home court advantage (49 wins puts them 2nd in Western Conference)
- Excellent defensive performance (8290 points against is significantly better than Jazz's 9124)
- Positive momentum with LWWWL recent form compared to Jazz's LLLLL slump
Utah Jazz: 35% win probability
- League-worst defense (9124 points against, highest in Western Conference)
- Poor overall record (16-60, placing them 15th in Western Conference)
- Terrible recent form (LLLLL, showing no signs of improvement)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Houston Rockets | Utah Jazz | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Best NBA sportsbook promos
Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz preview
The red-hot Rockets welcome the struggling Jazz to Toyota Center Wednesday night in what could be a complete mismatch on paper – Houston's riding high with 12 wins in their last 14 while Utah has dropped 16 of 17 and currently endures a six-game skid.
With Lauri Markkanen, Jordan Clarkson, and John Collins all sidelined, the Jazz have become a skeleton crew relying heavily on youngsters like Keyonte George, who dropped 20 points off the bench against Charlotte despite shooting just 35% from the floor.
Houston's defensive prowess (ranked 4th in adjusted defensive rating) should pose serious problems for a Jazz offense that's been unable to crack 110 points during their losing streak and is coming off a 14-for-52 brick festival from downtown against the Hornets.
Keep an eye on Amen Thompson, who's looking more confident by the game for Houston, coming off a 20-point performance against the Lakers while shooting an efficient 57%.
The Rockets' dominance on the offensive glass (league-best 22.9 second-chance points recently) could spell disaster for a Utah team ranked 29th in rim defense and desperately missing Walker Kessler's interior presence if he can't suit up.
While Fred VanVleet struggled mightily last game (2-for-14 shooting), the Rockets' balanced attack featuring Jalen Green's scoring (21.5 PPG) and Alperen Sengun's all-around game (19.1 PPG, 10.4 RPG) should overwhelm a Jazz squad allowing a dismal 120.1 points per game (29th in NBA).
This matchup marks the rubber match in their season series – they've split their previous encounters with Utah taking a 124-115 victory in February before Houston returned the favor 121-110 in late March.
Given the trajectory of both squads and the Jazz's horrific 15-game road losing streak against Western Conference opponents, expect the Toyota Center crowd to witness another dominant home performance from the surging Rockets.
Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz form
Houston Rockets vs. Utah Jazz head to head
Houston Rockets
50%
Utah Jazz
50%
Mar 28, 2025
Utah Jazz
110 : 121
Houston Rockets
Feb 23, 2025
Utah Jazz
124 : 115
Houston Rockets
Oct 8, 2024
Utah Jazz
122 : 113
Houston Rockets
Apr 12, 2024
Utah Jazz
124 : 121
Houston Rockets
Mar 30, 2024
Utah Jazz
100 : 101
Houston Rockets
Mar 24, 2024
Houston Rockets
147 : 119
Utah Jazz
