The NBA's top team Oklahoma City Thunder (63-12) put their scorching 10-game winning streak on the line against the fifth-seeded Detroit Pistons (42-33), who'll be without several key players following suspensions from their recent brawl with Minnesota.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's MVP-caliber season (32.8 PPG) has powered the Thunder's league-leading defense, while Detroit must find answers without Isaiah Stewart and possibly Cade Cunningham, who's questionable with a calf injury.

The clash at Paycom Center pits the Thunder's elite 43.5% opponent field goal percentage against a Pistons squad that's scored 115.5 points per game but struggled defensively in recent outings, setting up what could be either a statement road win or another dominant performance by the Oklahoma City Thunder against the Detroit Pistons.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 85% chance of defeating the Pistons.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 85% win probability

  • League-leading record (63-12, best in the Western Conference)
  • Exceptional offensive output (9031 points scored, among the highest in the league)
  • Perfect recent form (WWWWW, indicating peak performance heading into this matchup)

Detroit Pistons: 15% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent performance (LWWWL form shows volatility)
  • Defensive struggles (8484 points allowed, considerably more than OKC)
  • Road disadvantage against the Western Conference leader (42-33 record vs. 63-12 places them at a significant disadvantage)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the Detroit Pistons and the home team Oklahoma City Thunder this Wednesday, April 02.

Oklahoma City ThunderDetroit Pistons
Moneyline-1000 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)+700 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons preview

The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder will put their jaw-dropping 10-game winning streak on the line when they host the Detroit Pistons at Paycom Center on Wednesday night in what could be a statement game for either side.

Detroit's hopes took a massive hit after Monday's physical showdown with Minnesota that resulted in three key players—Isaiah Stewart, Ron Holland II, and Marcus Sasser—getting suspended following an on-court brawl.

Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32.8 PPG) and the emerging Jalen Williams (21.2 PPG), OKC's league-best defense has suffocated opponents while their offense has been downright explosive, most recently dropping 145 points on Chicago.

Detroit's Cade Cunningham (questionable with a calf issue) has been brilliant all season with 25.7 points and 9.2 assists per game, but his potential absence combined with the suspensions could leave Malik Beasley (fresh off a 27-point performance) carrying too heavy a load.

These teams have split their last 10 meetings with OKC taking the first game this season, but the Pistons' short-handed lineup faces a brutal challenge against a Thunder squad shooting over 51% in their last three contests.

Though Detroit ranks ninth in defensive efficiency, they've surrendered 113+ points in their last three outings, which doesn't bode well against an OKC team that leads the league in both defensive efficiency and steals.

Both teams play at a blistering pace—Detroit fifth-fastest in the league and OKC eleventh—setting up what could be an entertaining, high-scoring affair despite the Thunder's defensive prowess.

With the Thunder sitting atop the Western Conference and looking to lock up the #1 seed while Detroit fights to improve their fifth-place standing in the East, expect SGA and company to continue their dominant run at home where their swarming defense will likely be the difference-maker.

Key stats

  • 1
    Thunder lead the Western Conference with 63 wins in 75 games, showing dominance with a WWWWW recent form
  • 2
    Pistons sit 5th in the Eastern Conference with a 42-33 record, showing inconsistency with their LWWWL recent form
  • 3
    OKC has the best point differential in the league at +1002 (9031 scored vs 8029 allowed)
  • 4
    Detroit has scored 8664 points and allowed 8484, giving them a modest +180 point differential compared to OKC's +1002

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons form

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Apr 1, 2025
Chicago Bulls117:145Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 30, 2025
Indiana Pacers111:132Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 28, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies104:125Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 26, 2025
Sacramento Kings105:121Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 24, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers101:103Oklahoma City Thunder
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 30, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves123:104Detroit Pistons
Mar 28, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers122:133Detroit Pistons
Mar 25, 2025
San Antonio Spurs96:122Detroit Pistons
Mar 23, 2025
New Orleans Hornets130:136Detroit Pistons
Mar 22, 2025
Dallas Mavericks123:117Detroit Pistons

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons head to head

Oklahoma City Thunder

50%

Detroit Pistons

50%

Mar 15, 2025

Detroit Pistons

107 : 113

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 28, 2024

Detroit Pistons

120 : 104

Oklahoma City Thunder

Oct 31, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

124 : 112

Detroit Pistons

Oct 20, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

116 : 118

Detroit Pistons

Oct 12, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

125 : 128

Detroit Pistons

Mar 30, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

107 : 106

Detroit Pistons