The NBA's top team Oklahoma City Thunder (63-12) put their scorching 10-game winning streak on the line against the fifth-seeded Detroit Pistons (42-33), who'll be without several key players following suspensions from their recent brawl with Minnesota.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's MVP-caliber season (32.8 PPG) has powered the Thunder's league-leading defense, while Detroit must find answers without Isaiah Stewart and possibly Cade Cunningham, who's questionable with a calf injury.
The clash at Paycom Center pits the Thunder's elite 43.5% opponent field goal percentage against a Pistons squad that's scored 115.5 points per game but struggled defensively in recent outings, setting up what could be either a statement road win or another dominant performance by the Oklahoma City Thunder against the Detroit Pistons.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Detroit Pistons matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 85% chance of defeating the Pistons.
Pre-game probabilities
Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Detroit Pistons
Oklahoma City Thunder: 85% win probability
- League-leading record (63-12, best in the Western Conference)
- Exceptional offensive output (9031 points scored, among the highest in the league)
- Perfect recent form (WWWWW, indicating peak performance heading into this matchup)
Detroit Pistons: 15% win probability
- Inconsistent recent performance (LWWWL form shows volatility)
- Defensive struggles (8484 points allowed, considerably more than OKC)
- Road disadvantage against the Western Conference leader (42-33 record vs. 63-12 places them at a significant disadvantage)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Oklahoma City Thunder | Detroit Pistons | |
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| Moneyline |
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons preview
The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder will put their jaw-dropping 10-game winning streak on the line when they host the Detroit Pistons at Paycom Center on Wednesday night in what could be a statement game for either side.
Detroit's hopes took a massive hit after Monday's physical showdown with Minnesota that resulted in three key players—Isaiah Stewart, Ron Holland II, and Marcus Sasser—getting suspended following an on-court brawl.
Led by MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (32.8 PPG) and the emerging Jalen Williams (21.2 PPG), OKC's league-best defense has suffocated opponents while their offense has been downright explosive, most recently dropping 145 points on Chicago.
Detroit's Cade Cunningham (questionable with a calf issue) has been brilliant all season with 25.7 points and 9.2 assists per game, but his potential absence combined with the suspensions could leave Malik Beasley (fresh off a 27-point performance) carrying too heavy a load.
These teams have split their last 10 meetings with OKC taking the first game this season, but the Pistons' short-handed lineup faces a brutal challenge against a Thunder squad shooting over 51% in their last three contests.
Though Detroit ranks ninth in defensive efficiency, they've surrendered 113+ points in their last three outings, which doesn't bode well against an OKC team that leads the league in both defensive efficiency and steals.
Both teams play at a blistering pace—Detroit fifth-fastest in the league and OKC eleventh—setting up what could be an entertaining, high-scoring affair despite the Thunder's defensive prowess.
With the Thunder sitting atop the Western Conference and looking to lock up the #1 seed while Detroit fights to improve their fifth-place standing in the East, expect SGA and company to continue their dominant run at home where their swarming defense will likely be the difference-maker.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons form
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Detroit Pistons head to head
Oklahoma City Thunder
50%
Detroit Pistons
50%
Mar 15, 2025
Detroit Pistons
107 : 113
Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 28, 2024
Detroit Pistons
120 : 104
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oct 31, 2023
Oklahoma City Thunder
124 : 112
Detroit Pistons
Oct 20, 2023
Oklahoma City Thunder
116 : 118
Detroit Pistons
Oct 12, 2023
Oklahoma City Thunder
125 : 128
Detroit Pistons
Mar 30, 2023
Oklahoma City Thunder
107 : 106
Detroit Pistons
