In a clash of teams heading in opposite directions, the Sacramento Kings bring their playoff aspirations to the nation's capital against a Washington Wizards squad that's playing for pride and development.
The Kings, losers of six of their last seven, desperately need a win to maintain their tenuous grip on the Western Conference's final play-in spot, while the injury-plagued Wizards continue to slide with eight losses in their last nine outings.
DeMar DeRozan's offensive firepower (22.1 PPG) will be put to the test against the league's worst defense when the Washington Wizards host the Sacramento Kings in what could be a much-needed slump-buster for the visitors.
Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 85% chance of defeating the Wizards.
Pre-game probabilities
Sacramento Kings
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Washington Wizards
Sacramento Kings: 85% win probability
- Superior offensive production (8682 points scored compared to Wizards' 8144)
- Better overall record (36-39 vs. 16-59)
- More competitive point differential (-2 points per game vs. Wizards' -12.3 points per game)
Washington Wizards: 15% win probability
- League-worst defense (9069 points allowed, second-worst in the league)
- Poor recent form (LLLWL with only one win in last five games)
- Second-worst overall record in the league (16-59, only Utah has a comparable record)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Washington Wizards | Sacramento Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings preview
The struggling Sacramento Kings head to the nation's capital Wednesday night with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread, sitting just one game ahead of Phoenix for the Western Conference's final play-in spot after dropping six of their last seven games.
DeMar DeRozan has been the Kings' bright spot during this tough stretch, coming off a 31-point performance against Indiana in Monday's heartbreaking loss where they blew a 16-point lead.
The Wizards, firmly planted in the Eastern Conference cellar, have been equally dismal with eight losses in their last nine contests, though Jordan Poole's recent 35-point explosion against Miami offers a glimmer of entertainment value for Washington fans with nothing else to cheer for.
Both squads have defensive issues, but Sacramento's 10th-ranked offense (115.8 ppg) should feast against the Wizards' league-worst defense that's surrendering a staggering 120.9 points per game.
Injuries continue to plague both teams – the Kings will miss Jake LaRavia while Washington has ruled out several key contributors including Bilal Coulibaly and Corey Kispert.
When these teams met back in January, Sacramento cruised to a dominant 23-point victory, and given Washington's current seven-game failure to cover the spread at home, there's little reason to expect anything different this time around.
Keep an eye on the matchup between big men Domantas Sabonis (averaging 14 rebounds per game) and rookie Alex Sarr, who's coming off a nightmare 3-for-17 shooting performance against Miami.
With the Kings' playoff aspirations on the line, expect them to come out desperate and determined to end their recent slide against the NBA's most vulnerable defense.
Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings form
Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings head to head
Washington Wizards
40%
Sacramento Kings
60%
Apr 2, 2025
Washington Wizards
0 : 0
Sacramento Kings
Jan 20, 2025
Sacramento Kings
123 : 100
Washington Wizards
Jul 18, 2024
Sacramento Kings
69 : 73
Washington Wizards
Mar 21, 2024
Washington Wizards
109 : 102
Sacramento Kings
Dec 19, 2023
Sacramento Kings
143 : 131
Washington Wizards
Mar 19, 2023
Washington Wizards
118 : 132
Sacramento Kings
