The Bell Centre will host another chapter in hockey's most storied rivalry Thursday night, with the free-falling Boston Bruins (30-36-9) desperately looking to snap their nine-game winless streak against a Montreal Canadiens team clinging to the final wild card spot.
While history favors the visitors – Boston owns a stunning 9-0-1 record against Montreal in their last ten meetings – the Canadiens' recent momentum (winners of two straight) and the Bruins' offensive woes (averaging just two goals per game in their last ten) could finally shift the balance in this Original Six showdown.
Everything's on the line as the desperate Montreal Canadiens look to maintain their slim playoff hopes against a Boston Bruins squad that has dominated them for years but appears ripe for an upset.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Montreal Canadiens vs Boston Bruins matchup, our predictive model gives the Canadiens a 62% chance of defeating the Bruins.
Pre-game probabilities
Montreal Canadiens
Moneyline
Win %
62%
38%
Boston Bruins
Montreal Canadiens: 62% win probability
- Superior standings position (8th vs 16th in Eastern Conference)
- Better goal differential (-25 vs -52 for Boston)
- Stronger recent form (WWLLL vs LLLLL for Boston)
Boston Bruins: 38% win probability
- Currently on a five-game losing streak (LLLLL recent form)
- Poor defensive record (248 goals conceded, 13th in Eastern Conference)
- Lower points total (69 points vs 79 points for Montreal)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Montreal Canadiens | Boston Bruins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins preview
The Original Six rivalry heats up again as the struggling Bruins bring their nine-game winless streak north to face a Canadiens squad clinging to the final wild card spot by just two points.
Boston's offense has gone ice cold, scoring just 17 goals in their last nine outings while surrendering a brutal 42, a trend that needs immediate reversal if they hope to snap Montreal's momentum.
The Habs enter Thursday night riding a two-game win streak, including a dramatic overtime victory against Florida where Nick Suzuki played hero with both the last-second equalizer and the OT winner.
Despite their current form, history favors the Bruins, who've dominated this matchup with a 9-0-1 record in their last 10 meetings against Montreal.
David Pastrnak remains Boston's lone bright spot, netting his 36th and 37th goals of the season in their latest defeat to Washington.
Montreal's offense has cooled slightly (just 13 goals in their last five games), but home ice advantage where they average nearly three goals per game could prove decisive.
Between the pipes, Sam Montembeault's steady presence for Montreal contrasts sharply with Jeremy Swayman's struggles behind a porous Bruins defense that's allowing a whopping 3.81 goals per road game.
This Bell Centre showdown promises intensity as Montreal fights to preserve their playoff hopes while Boston desperately seeks to reclaim their lost form and salvage some pride in a disappointing season.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins form
Montreal Canadiens vs. Boston Bruins head to head
Montreal Canadiens
17%
Boston Bruins
83%
Dec 1, 2024
Boston Bruins
6 : 3
Montreal Canadiens
Oct 10, 2024
Boston Bruins
6 : 4
Montreal Canadiens
Mar 14, 2024
Montreal Canadiens
1 : 2
Boston Bruins
Jan 21, 2024
Boston Bruins
9 : 4
Montreal Canadiens
Nov 19, 2023
Boston Bruins
5 : 2
Montreal Canadiens
Nov 12, 2023
Montreal Canadiens
3 : 2
Boston Bruins
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