The Vegas Golden Knights will attempt to flex their home-ice muscle against the Winnipeg Jets Thursday night at T-Mobile Arena, where recent history heavily favors the hosts with Vegas having won 9 of their last 10 matchups against the Jets.
Both teams enter the contest following losses that snapped their respective winning streaks - the Jets' three-game run ended against Los Angeles while Vegas saw their impressive six-game winning streak halted by Edmonton.
Jack Eichel's 93-point scoring prowess could prove decisive for the Golden Knights as they look to maintain their dominance in this matchup where the home team aims to complete a season sweep against an away team that, despite leading the Western Conference, has struggled defensively on the road recently.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Vegas Golden Knights vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Knights a 75% chance of defeating the Jets.
Pre-game probabilities
Vegas Golden Knights
Moneyline
Win %
75%
25%
Winnipeg Jets
Vegas Golden Knights: 75% win probability
- Powerful offensive output (252 goals for in 74 games)
- Strong home ice advantage (3rd in Western Conference with 98 points)
- Momentum with recent form (LWWWW, winning 4 of last 5 games)
Winnipeg Jets: 25% win probability
- Recent decline in form (LWWWL, losing 2 of last 5 games)
- Potential road fatigue (playing their 76th game against Vegas' 74th)
- Defensive vulnerability on road (177 goals against overall, but more vulnerable away from home)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Vegas Golden Knights | Winnipeg Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets preview
The Western Conference's top dogs clash at T-Mobile Arena Thursday night as the conference-leading Jets try to bounce back from a surprisingly flat 4-1 loss to the Kings, while Vegas aims to recover after Edmonton snapped their six-game win streak.
History favors the Golden Knights, who've dominated this matchup with a 9-1 record in their last 10 against Winnipeg and are looking to complete a season series sweep after winning the first two meetings.
The goaltending battle pits Connor Hellebuyck (43-10-3, 2.03 GAA) against Adin Hill (29-12-5, 2.47 GAA) in what promises to be a showdown between two of the league's stingiest netminders.
Jack Eichel has been Vegas' offensive catalyst with 93 points, while Kyle Connor leads Winnipeg's attack with 90 points including 38 goals this season.
The Knights' home ice advantage could prove decisive, with Vegas converting an impressive 30% of their power play opportunities – a potential problem for Winnipeg's middle-of-the-pack penalty kill.
The Jets boast the NHL's best defense, allowing just 2.35 goals per game, but they've been surprisingly vulnerable on the road lately, surrendering 13 goals across their last three away games.
Recent trends point to a tight, low-scoring affair – both teams have played under the total in most of their recent games, with the last two head-to-head matchups also finishing under.
While Winnipeg holds an eight-point lead in the standings, Vegas' special teams advantage and remarkable success against the Jets make this Pacific Division showdown too close to call.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets form
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets head to head
Vegas Golden Knights
100%
Winnipeg Jets
0%
Dec 13, 2024
Winnipeg Jets
2 : 3
Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 30, 2024
Vegas Golden Knights
4 : 3
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 29, 2024
Winnipeg Jets
1 : 4
Vegas Golden Knights
Nov 3, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights
5 : 2
Winnipeg Jets
Oct 20, 2023
Winnipeg Jets
3 : 5
Vegas Golden Knights
Apr 28, 2023
Vegas Golden Knights
4 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
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