The red-hot Clippers, winners of 10 of their last 12 games, welcome a desperate Dallas squad fighting to secure the 9th seed in the Western Conference playoff race.
With Kawhi Leonard likely to suit up after dropping 28 points against the Pelicans, LA's elite defense (4th in points allowed) could be the deciding factor against a Mavs team playing without Kyrie Irving but still dangerous thanks to Anthony Davis's recent 34-point explosion against Atlanta.
All eyes will be on the contrasting styles as the fast-paced Mavericks try to push the tempo against the methodical Los Angeles Clippers when these Western Conference rivals face off at Intuit Dome.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks matchup, our predictive model gives the Clippers a 75.67% chance of defeating the Mavs.
Pre-game probabilities
Los Angeles Clippers
Moneyline
Win %
75.67%
24.33%
Dallas Mavericks
Los Angeles Clippers: 75.67% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (8226 points allowed vs Dallas' 8867)
- Better overall record (44-32 vs Dallas' 38-39)
- Strong recent form (WWLWW vs Dallas' WLWWL)
Dallas Mavericks: 24.33% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (8867 points allowed, 9th worst in West)
- Below .500 record (38-39, sitting at 9th in West)
- Inconsistent recent performance (WLWWL shows inability to string together wins)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Los Angeles Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks preview
The surging Clippers welcome the Mavericks to Intuit Dome Friday night in what could be a playoff preview as both teams jockey for Western Conference positioning.
LA has been on an absolute tear lately, winning 10 of their last 12 games with Kawhi Leonard dropping 28 points in their recent victory over the Pelicans.
Dallas, fighting to secure the 9th seed and a play-in berth, comes in with momentum after Anthony Davis' monster 34-point, 15-rebound performance clinched a nail-biter against Atlanta.
The Mavs' playoff hopes are complicated by key injuries - they'll be without Kyrie Irving (knee) and Dante Exum (hand), while P.J. Washington remains questionable.
These teams split their two previous meetings in Dallas earlier this season, with the Clippers dominating the first encounter before the Mavs struck back two days later.
LA's lockdown defense, ranked 4th in points allowed, will aim to contain a Dallas offense that prefers to push the pace and shoot from deep.
With the Clippers playing on the second night of a back-to-back on Saturday, Tyronn Lue's rotation decisions - particularly regarding Kawhi - could prove decisive.
Given LA's hot streak and home-court advantage, they'll look to leverage their elite rebounding (ranked 1st in defensive boards) to control the tempo against Luka and company.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks form
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks head to head
Los Angeles Clippers
50%
Dallas Mavericks
50%
Dec 22, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
113 : 97
Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 20, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
95 : 118
Los Angeles Clippers
Oct 15, 2024
Los Angeles Clippers
110 : 96
Dallas Mavericks
May 4, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
114 : 101
Los Angeles Clippers
May 2, 2024
Los Angeles Clippers
93 : 123
Dallas Mavericks
Apr 28, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
111 : 116
Los Angeles Clippers
