The Indiana Pacers ride an impressive wave of momentum into Friday's clash against the Utah Jazz, with Tyrese Haliburton's recent 22-point, 10-assist performance highlighting why the playoff-bound Pacers have won eight of their last ten games.
Utah limps into Indianapolis missing their top scorers Lauri Markkanen and John Collins, which has contributed to their dismal seven-game losing streak and next-to-last ranking in points allowed.
The contrast couldn't be starker as the fourth-seeded Eastern Conference Pacers look to strengthen their playoff positioning against a Jazz team that's been mathematically eliminated from contention when the home team hosts the away team at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 80% chance of defeating the Jazz.
Pre-game probabilities

Indiana Pacers
Moneyline
Win %
80%
20%

Utah Jazz
Indiana Pacers: 80% win probability
- Offensive firepower (8900 points scored, 4th highest in the league)
- Home court advantage (45-31 record puts them 4th in Eastern Conference)
- Scoring efficiency (117.1 points per game, significantly better than Jazz's 111.4)
Utah Jazz: 20% win probability
- League-worst defense (9267 points allowed, most in the Western Conference)
- Terrible road record (16-61 overall record, worst in Western Conference)
- Momentum issues (Current 5-game losing streak shown by LLLLL recent form)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
Indiana Pacers | Utah Jazz | |
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Moneyline |
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Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz preview
The struggling Utah Jazz limp into Gainbridge Fieldhouse Friday night riding a brutal seven-game losing streak and missing nearly half their roster to injuries, including their top scorers Lauri Markkanen and John Collins.
Indiana, meanwhile, is absolutely rolling with eight wins in their last ten games and looking to solidify their fourth seed in the Eastern Conference playoff picture.
The contrast between these teams couldn't be starker – Utah's 29th-ranked defense has been a turnstile allowing 120.4 points per game, while the Pacers bring the league's 7th-best offense shooting a blistering 49.1% from the field.
Keep an eye on Isaiah Collier, who dropped 22 points with 10 assists in Utah's last outing despite the blowout loss to Houston.
Tyrese Haliburton continues to orchestrate Indiana's high-powered attack, matching Collier's 22-and-10 line in their recent win over Charlotte.
The Jazz have been forced to rely heavily on Collin Sexton (18.2 PPG) and Keyonte George (16.6 PPG) with their stars sidelined, but they've been overwhelmed against quality opposition.
This one could get ugly fast – Indiana's third-ranked field goal percentage against Utah's porous defense suggests the Pacers might push this game out of reach by halftime.
That massive 14.5-point spread tells you everything you need to know about how bookmakers view this mismatch between a playoff-bound team with everything to play for and a depleted squad playing out the string.
Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz form


Indiana Pacers vs. Utah Jazz head to head

Indiana Pacers
40%

Utah Jazz
60%
Apr 4, 2025
Indiana Pacers
0 : 0
Utah Jazz
Feb 4, 2025
Utah Jazz
111 : 112
Indiana Pacers
Jan 16, 2024
Utah Jazz
132 : 105
Indiana Pacers
Nov 9, 2023
Indiana Pacers
134 : 118
Utah Jazz
Feb 14, 2023
Indiana Pacers
117 : 123
Utah Jazz
Dec 3, 2022
Utah Jazz
139 : 119
Indiana Pacers