The Detroit Pistons (42-34) roll into Scotiabank Arena Friday night looking to snap their two-game losing streak against a Toronto Raptors squad that's dropped six of their last ten contests.
With Tim Hardaway Jr. coming off a 23-point performance against the Thunder and the potential return of Cade Cunningham looming, Detroit's offensive firepower could overwhelm a Raptors defense surrendering 115.3 points per game.
All eyes will be on the battle of the boards as the Toronto Raptors host the Detroit Pistons in what could be a statement game for both struggling franchises.
Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Raptors vs Detroit Pistons matchup, our predictive model gives the Pistons a 62.5% chance of defeating the Raptors.
Pre-game probabilities

Detroit Pistons
Moneyline
Win %
62.5%
37.5%

Toronto Raptors
Detroit Pistons: 62.5% win probability
- Superior win-loss record (42-34 compared to Raptors' 28-49)
- Better defensive efficiency (8603 points allowed versus Raptors' 8872)
- Strong current form with 3 consecutive wins (LLWWW) compared to Raptors' inconsistent performance
Toronto Raptors: 37.5% win probability
- Poor overall record (28-49, ranking 11th in Eastern Conference)
- Defensive struggles (allowed 8872 points this season)
- Significant negative point differential (8520 scored vs 8872 allowed)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
Toronto Raptors | Detroit Pistons | |
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Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons preview
Friday night at Scotiabank Arena brings us a clash between two teams heading in opposite directions as the playoff-chasing Detroit Pistons (42-34) visit the struggling Toronto Raptors (28-48).
Detroit's solid season has hit a slight bump with back-to-back losses, including Wednesday's 119-103 drubbing by the Thunder where they shot a dismal 40% from the field despite Tim Hardaway Jr.'s 23-point effort.
The possible return of Cade Cunningham, listed as questionable after missing recent games, could provide the spark Detroit desperately needs to maintain their playoff positioning.
Toronto, meanwhile, looks like a team embracing the tank, dropping six of their last ten and coming off a disappointing home loss to the Trail Blazers despite forcing 25 turnovers.
The Raptors' offense has been inconsistent at best, though Immanuel Quickley showed flashes in recent action with a 17-point, 9-assist performance, and RJ Barrett remains their primary scoring threat.
Both teams are dealing with significant injuries — Detroit's without Tobias Harris while Toronto continues to miss Brandon Ingram and Gradey Dick.
Playing the second night of a back-to-back won't help the already-depleted Raptors squad that's surrendering 115.3 points per game, setting up what could be the perfect get-right game for the Pistons.
Look for Detroit to exploit Toronto's fatigue and push the pace through Schroder's playmaking while Jalen Duren attempts to bounce back from his turnover-plagued performance against OKC.
Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons form


Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons head to head

Toronto Raptors
0%

Detroit Pistons
100%
Apr 4, 2025
Toronto Raptors
0 : 0
Detroit Pistons
Jan 12, 2025
Detroit Pistons
123 : 114
Toronto Raptors
Nov 26, 2024
Detroit Pistons
102 : 100
Toronto Raptors
Nov 16, 2024
Toronto Raptors
95 : 99
Detroit Pistons
Mar 13, 2024
Detroit Pistons
113 : 104
Toronto Raptors
Dec 30, 2023
Detroit Pistons
129 : 127
Toronto Raptors