The red-hot Cleveland Cavaliers roll into San Antonio tonight, bringing their league-best offense (122.4 PPG) against a Spurs team still reeling from Victor Wembanyama's season-ending injury.
Cleveland's dynamic backcourt of Mitchell and Garland presents a nightmare matchup for an aging Chris Paul, while the Mobley-Allen frontcourt should dominate a Spurs interior defense that ranks 27th in efficiency.
The Frost Bank Center crowd will hope for another miracle like their recent upset over Denver, but the shorthanded Spurs face a mountain to climb against a Cavaliers squad fighting to maintain their five-game lead over Boston in the East.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Cleveland Cavaliers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's San Antonio Spurs vs Cleveland Cavaliers matchup, our predictive model gives the Cavs a 83% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Pre-game probabilities
Cleveland Cavaliers
Moneyline
Win %
83%
17%
San Antonio Spurs
Cleveland Cavaliers: 83% win probability
- League-leading 61 wins in 76 games (80.3% win rate)
- Impressive +770 point differential (9299 scored vs 8529 allowed)
- Perfect recent form with 5 straight wins (WWLWW)
San Antonio Spurs: 17% win probability
- Poor home record with only 32 wins against 44 losses (42.1% win rate)
- Negative point differential (-200) showing defensive vulnerabilities
- Struggling form with 4 losses in last 5 games (WLLLL)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| San Antonio Spurs | Cleveland Cavaliers | |
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| Moneyline |
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Cleveland Cavaliers preview
The Eastern Conference-leading Cavaliers (61-15) roll into San Antonio riding high after dismantling the Knicks 124-105, with Donovan Mitchell continuing his All-NBA caliber campaign with 27 points in that victory.
The Spurs (32-44) finally snapped a five-game losing streak with their upset win over a depleted Denver squad, but they're still reeling from season-ending injuries to Victor Wembanyama (blood clots) and De'Aaron Fox (hand).
Mitchell, who's averaging 24 points and has scored 24+ in his last four outings, leads Cleveland's offensive juggernaut that ranks 2nd in efficiency and 1st in scoring (122.4 points per game).
San Antonio's rookie Stephon Castle flashed his potential with a 15-point, 15-rebound performance against Denver, but the Spurs' 27th-ranked defense will struggle mightily against Cleveland's diverse attack featuring Darius Garland, Evan Mobley, and Jarrett Allen.
When these teams met in late March, Cleveland only won by eight at home, but the Spurs' injury situation has worsened since then with Jeremy Sochan out and Keldon Johnson potentially unavailable.
Chris Paul, now in the twilight of his career at 8.8 points and 7.6 assists per game, simply doesn't have enough healthy weapons around him to counter Cleveland's championship-caliber roster.
The Cavs' twin towers of Mobley and Allen should feast inside against Bismack Biyombo, who's well past his prime and lacks the support needed to contain Cleveland's frontcourt.
Look for the Cavaliers to push their lead in the East while the short-handed Spurs struggle to keep pace with a Cleveland squad that's eyeing home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Cleveland Cavaliers form
San Antonio Spurs vs. Cleveland Cavaliers head to head
San Antonio Spurs
17%
Cleveland Cavaliers
83%
Mar 27, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers
124 : 116
San Antonio Spurs
Feb 4, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
101 : 117
Cleveland Cavaliers
Jan 7, 2024
Cleveland Cavaliers
117 : 115
San Antonio Spurs
Feb 14, 2023
Cleveland Cavaliers
117 : 109
San Antonio Spurs
Dec 13, 2022
San Antonio Spurs
112 : 111
Cleveland Cavaliers
Jul 8, 2022
Cleveland Cavaliers
99 : 90
San Antonio Spurs
