The red-hot Golden State Warriors, riding a three-game winning streak fueled by Stephen Curry's explosive 52-point performance against Memphis, host the slumping Denver Nuggets who've dropped two straight and are trying to maintain their slim lead in the Western Conference standings.
Friday's clash at Chase Center could drastically reshape the playoff picture with Golden State's home court advantage potentially neutralizing Denver's 9-1 record in their last ten meetings against the Warriors.
With questionable injury status for several Nuggets stars including Jokic and Murray, expect a chess match between Warriors' seventh-ranked defense against Denver's high-powered offense when the Golden State Warriors face the Denver Nuggets in what promises to be a playoff atmosphere.
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 62.33% chance of defeating the Nuggets.
Pre-game probabilities
Golden State Warriors
Moneyline
Win %
62.33%
37.67%
Denver Nuggets
Golden State Warriors: 62.33% win probability
- Stellar defensive efficiency (8431 points allowed in 76 games, 5th best in the Western Conference)
- Exceptional recent form (WWWWL, winning 4 of their last 5 games)
- Strong home court advantage (45-31 overall record, positioned 5th in the competitive Western Conference)
Denver Nuggets: 37.67% win probability
- Concerning recent form (LLWWL, losing 3 of their last 5 games)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (9004 points allowed, third-worst in the Western Conference)
- Road performance issues (47-30 overall record but struggling with consistency lately)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Golden State Warriors | Denver Nuggets | |
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| Moneyline |
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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets preview
The sizzling Warriors, winners of three straight, will look to close the gap in the Western Conference standings when they host the stumbling Nuggets at Chase Center on Friday night.
Steph Curry is coming off an absolute masterclass against Memphis, dropping 52 points with 10 rebounds and 8 assists - the kind of vintage performance that makes Golden State particularly dangerous heading into this crucial playoff-positioning matchup.
Denver's recent form has been concerning with losses in three of their last five games, including a disappointing 113-106 defeat to San Antonio where they shot a miserable 39.6% from the field despite Westbrook's 30-point triple-double effort.
The Nuggets hold a commanding 9-1 record in their last 10 meetings against Golden State and lead this season's series 2-0, but injuries could play a massive factor with Jokic, Murray, and Porter Jr. all listed as questionable.
Both teams bring contrasting styles to the court - Denver plays at the sixth-fastest pace in the league while Golden State's defense has been significantly stingier, surrendering nearly six fewer points per game than the Nuggets.
The Warriors' home-court advantage might prove decisive as they've excelled at second-chance opportunities, leading the league in second-chance scoring over their last three games.
Golden State's ball movement has been exceptional, featuring Draymond Green's facilitating (he notched a triple-double against Memphis) and their defensive discipline forcing turnovers at a top-five rate in the league.
With playoff seeding on the line and the Nuggets trying to protect their slim two-game lead over the Warriors, expect an intense, physical battle between these Western Conference rivals.
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets form
Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets head to head
Golden State Warriors
0%
Denver Nuggets
100%
Mar 18, 2025
Golden State Warriors
105 : 114
Denver Nuggets
Dec 4, 2024
Denver Nuggets
119 : 115
Golden State Warriors
Feb 26, 2024
Golden State Warriors
103 : 119
Denver Nuggets
Jan 5, 2024
Golden State Warriors
127 : 130
Denver Nuggets
Dec 25, 2023
Denver Nuggets
120 : 114
Golden State Warriors
Nov 9, 2023
Denver Nuggets
108 : 105
Golden State Warriors
