The Memphis Grizzlies roll into Little Caesars Arena looking to build on their buzzer-beating win over Miami, despite losing seven of their last nine games heading into Saturday's clash against the Detroit Pistons.
Ja Morant's 30-point performance against the Heat might be just what Memphis needed to regain their offensive swagger, but they'll face a formidable challenge in a Pistons squad that's won six of their last nine and is particularly tough at home with three consecutive victories on their own court.
The history between these teams heavily favors the Grizzlies who've gone 8-0 against Detroit since 2022, but with both teams fighting for playoff positioning and the Pistons coming off a confident road win in Toronto, expect an intense battle when the home team hosts the away team.
Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs Memphis Grizzlies matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 56.67% chance of defeating the Pistons.
Pre-game probabilities
Memphis Grizzlies
Moneyline
Win %
56.67%
43.33%
Detroit Pistons
Memphis Grizzlies: 56.67% win probability
- Strong offensive production (9381 points scored, 3rd highest in the Western Conference)
- Better overall record (45-32 compared to Pistons' 43-34)
- Momentum advantage with recent winning streak (WLLLL vs Pistons' WLLWW)
Detroit Pistons: 43.33% win probability
- Less efficient scoring (8884 points vs Grizzlies' 9381)
- Weaker conference standing (5th in East vs Grizzlies' 7th in more competitive West)
- Defensive vulnerability (8708 points allowed, which is higher than several top teams)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Detroit Pistons | Memphis Grizzlies | |
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Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies preview
The Memphis Grizzlies roll into Little Caesars Arena this Saturday night looking to build on their dramatic buzzer-beater victory over Miami, where Ja Morant's clutch shot snapped a concerning four-game skid for the once-promising Western Conference contenders.
Detroit, meanwhile, enters this contest with momentum after handling Toronto 117-105 last night, marking their sixth win in nine games as they continue their surprising playoff push in what's been an undisputed turnaround season.
Recent history heavily favors Memphis, who've dominated this matchup with an 8-0 record against Detroit since 2022, including a 20-point beatdown earlier this season.
The backcourt battle should be fascinating – Morant dropped 36 points on blistering 63.6% shooting in his last outing, while the Pistons are getting unexpected production from Tim Hardaway Jr., who poured in 23 points on 57% shooting against Toronto.
Both squads rank in the top half of the league offensively (Memphis 2nd, Detroit 14th), but fatigue could be a factor for the home team on the second night of a back-to-back.
The Grizzlies' defensive vulnerability against three-pointers (19th in the league) might not hurt them against a Pistons squad that attempts the 24th most shots from beyond the arc.
Key injury concerns loom large – Brandon Clarke and Vince Williams Jr. remain sidelined for Memphis, while Detroit's playoff hopes may hinge on Cade Cunningham's questionable status after last night's game.
With Memphis desperate to right the ship after losing seven of nine before Thursday's win, this matchup feels like a potential statement game for a Grizzlies team trying to recapture their early-season form heading into the playoffs.
Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies form
Detroit Pistons vs. Memphis Grizzlies head to head
Detroit Pistons
20%
Memphis Grizzlies
80%
Apr 5, 2025
Detroit Pistons
0 : 0
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 28, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
131 : 111
Detroit Pistons
Apr 6, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
108 : 90
Detroit Pistons
Apr 1, 2024
Detroit Pistons
108 : 110
Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 7, 2023
Detroit Pistons
102 : 116
Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 10, 2022
Memphis Grizzlies
114 : 103
Detroit Pistons
