The scorching-hot Dallas Stars, riding a seven-game winning streak and boasting top-four rankings in both offense and defense, welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins to American Airlines Center in what could be a lopsided affair this Saturday afternoon.
While Jake Oettinger continues his stellar play between the pipes with a .912 save percentage, the Penguins' playoff hopes hang by a thread as they've dropped four of their last five games and struggle with the league's worst defensive record.
Pittsburgh's offensive weapons led by Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell will face a monumental challenge breaking through the Stars' second-ranked penalty kill when the desperate Penguins face off against the Central Division powerhouse Stars.
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 78% chance of defeating the Pens.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
78%
22%
Pittsburgh Penguins
Dallas Stars: 78% win probability
- Explosive offense (259 goals scored, 2nd highest in the Western Conference)
- Dominant home record (28 wins at American Airlines Center this season)
- Red-hot form (Current 5-game winning streak as shown by WWWWW recent form)
Pittsburgh Penguins: 22% win probability
- Defensive struggles (279 goals allowed, 4th worst in the Eastern Conference)
- Road game difficulties (13-21-2 away record this season)
- Momentum issues (Recent form shows LWLLL with 4 losses in last 5 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Dallas Stars | Pittsburgh Penguins | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins preview
The scorching-hot Dallas Stars, riding a seven-game winning streak, welcome the slumping Pittsburgh Penguins to American Airlines Center this Saturday in what could be a lopsided affair given the teams' contrasting fortunes.
Dallas stands tall as one of the NHL's most balanced squads, ranking fourth in both scoring (3.4 goals per game) and defense (2.5 goals against), while Pittsburgh has struggled mightily in their own end, sitting dead last in goals allowed (3.6).
Jake Oettinger has been a wall between the pipes for the Stars with his impressive 2.45 GAA and .912 save percentage, potentially spelling trouble for a desperate Penguins team that's dropped four of their last five contests.
Despite their defensive woes, the Penguins still pack some offensive punch with Sidney Crosby (82 points) leading the charge alongside Rickard Rakell, who's enjoying a breakout season with 33 goals.
History doesn't favor Pittsburgh either, as Dallas has dominated this matchup recently, winning six of their last seven head-to-head meetings, with the under hitting in seven of their last eight encounters.
Both teams will be missing key personnel – Dallas without Miro Heiskanen and Tyler Seguin, Pittsburgh missing Tommy Novak and Pierre-Olivier Joseph – but the Stars' superior depth should help them weather these absences better.
The stars of Dallas – Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnston with 33 and 31 goals respectively – will look to feast on a Penguins defense that's hemorrhaged goals all season.
For Pittsburgh, this represents one of their final chances to keep faint playoff hopes alive, but they'll need a miraculous performance to overcome a Stars squad that's won 11 of their last 12 on home ice.
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins form
Dallas Stars vs. Pittsburgh Penguins head to head
Dallas Stars
83%
Pittsburgh Penguins
17%
Nov 12, 2024
Pittsburgh Penguins
1 : 7
Dallas Stars
Mar 23, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Oct 24, 2023
Pittsburgh Penguins
1 : 4
Dallas Stars
Mar 24, 2023
Dallas Stars
3 : 2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Dec 13, 2022
Pittsburgh Penguins
2 : 1
Dallas Stars
Jan 8, 2022
Dallas Stars
3 : 2
Pittsburgh Penguins
