The struggling Utah Jazz (16-62) limp into State Farm Arena to face the Atlanta Hawks (36-40), bringing with them a dismal stretch of 18 losses in their last 19 outings and a roster still missing key contributors Lauri Markkanen and Walker Kessler.
While Atlanta has hit their own rough patch, dropping five of their last six contests including last night's drubbing by New York, they desperately need this win to maintain their precarious position in the Eastern Conference playoff race.
With Utah's league-worst defense surrendering 120.4 points per game and Atlanta fighting to keep their postseason hopes alive, Sunday's matchup presents a golden opportunity for the home team Hawks to snap their recent skid against the away team Jazz.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Utah Jazz prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Hawks vs Utah Jazz matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 78.33% chance of defeating the Jazz.
Pre-game probabilities
Atlanta Hawks
Moneyline
Win %
78.33%
21.67%
Utah Jazz
Atlanta Hawks: 78.33% win probability
- Superior offensive output (9058 points scored vs Jazz's 8692)
- Higher position in conference standings (8th in East vs 15th in West)
- Better win-loss record (36-41 vs 16-62)
Utah Jazz: 21.67% win probability
- Poor recent form (five consecutive losses - LLLLL)
- League-worst record in Western Conference (16-62)
- Weak defensive performance (9407 points allowed, worst among all teams)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Atlanta Hawks | Utah Jazz | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Atlanta Hawks vs. Utah Jazz preview
The Hawks host the Jazz at State Farm Arena in a matchup that pits a playoff-hungry Atlanta squad against a Utah team that's hit rock bottom with 18 losses in their last 19 games.
Trae Young remains the engine for Atlanta, putting up 24.1 points and 11.6 assists per game, though he's been dealing with a nagging Achilles issue that could limit his minutes in this back-to-back scenario.
Utah's miserable season continues to spiral as they're coming off a brutal 140-112 shellacking by Indiana where they shot an ice-cold 37% from the floor and missed a whopping 36 three-pointers.
The Hawks, fighting to maintain their playoff positioning in the East, can't afford to slip up against a depleted Jazz team likely missing key contributors Lauri Markkanen and Walker Kessler.
When these teams met back in January, Atlanta squeezed out a narrow 124-121 victory, but Utah still holds a 7-3 edge in their last ten matchups.
Look for Collin Sexton (18.2 PPG) to carry the scoring load for the Jazz, while Atlanta's supporting cast of Caris LeVert and Dyson Daniels will need to step up if Young isn't at full strength.
With Atlanta trying to fend off Miami for playoff positioning and Utah clearly in tank mode, this game carries significant stakes for only one side.
The Hawks' offense ranks 5th in scoring (117.8 PPG) against Utah's league-worst defense, setting the stage for what should be a comfortable Atlanta win if they bring any semblance of energy after Saturday's game against New York.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Utah Jazz form
Atlanta Hawks vs. Utah Jazz head to head
Atlanta Hawks
40%
Utah Jazz
60%
Apr 6, 2025
Atlanta Hawks
0 : 0
Utah Jazz
Jan 8, 2025
Utah Jazz
121 : 124
Atlanta Hawks
Mar 16, 2024
Utah Jazz
124 : 122
Atlanta Hawks
Feb 28, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
124 : 97
Utah Jazz
Feb 4, 2023
Utah Jazz
108 : 115
Atlanta Hawks
Nov 10, 2022
Atlanta Hawks
119 : 125
Utah Jazz
