With five wins in their last six head-to-head meetings, Inter Miami enters Sunday's clash at Chase Stadium with momentum despite coming off a Champions League loss to LAFC.
Toronto's defensive woes have been telling – they've conceded in five of their last six matches while managing just a scoreless draw against Vancouver in their previous outing.
The absences of injured players like David Ruíz and Tadeo Allende could play a factor as the home team Inter Miami faces a Toronto side missing key defenders Kevin Long and Richie Laryea.
Inter Miami vs. Toronto prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Inter Miami vs Toronto matchup, our predictive model gives the Herons a 80.7% chance of defeating the Reds.
Pre-game probabilities
Inter Miami
Moneyline
Win %
80.7%
19.3%
Toronto
Inter Miami: 80.7% win probability
- Perfect recent form (WWWWD showing 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches)
- Exceptional offensive output (11 goals scored in just 5 games, averaging 2.2 goals per match)
- Strong league position (2nd place with 13 points despite playing fewer games than most teams)
Toronto: 19.3% win probability
- Winless season record (0 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses in 6 matches played)
- Poor defensive record (12 goals conceded in 6 matches, averaging 2 goals against per game)
- Terrible recent form (DLLLL indicates 4 consecutive losses after an early season draw)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking..
| Inter Miami | Toronto | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Inter Miami vs. Toronto preview
Inter Miami, riding high with a string of impressive performances despite their recent CONCACAF Champions Cup loss to LAFC, welcome a struggling Toronto FC to Chase Stadium this Sunday evening.
The Herons' defense has been rock-solid lately, conceding just three goals in their last six outings, which could spell trouble for a leaky Toronto backline that's shipped 12 goals in their past six matches.
Their recent head-to-head history heavily favors Miami, who've won five of their last six encounters with Toronto, including a tight 1-0 victory in their previous meeting where Leonardo Campana grabbed a dramatic stoppage-time winner.
Javier Mascherano's squad will have to cope without several injured players, including David Ruíz and Tadeo Allende, but they still pack enough firepower to trouble Toronto's defense.
The visitors, under Robin Fraser, haven't exactly set the world alight recently – they've managed just a goalless draw against Vancouver Whitecaps in their last outing and will be missing key defenders Kevin Long and Richie Laryea for this trip south.
Chase Stadium has become something of a fortress for Miami, and with Toronto's road form being what it is, I'm not seeing much hope for the Canadian outfit.
That said, Toronto have shown they can create chances – they managed 15 shots with 6 on target in their last meeting – so they might just find the net in what's likely to be a consolation goal.
Expect Miami's attacking talent to dominate proceedings in what should be an entertaining Sunday night showdown in Florida.
Inter Miami vs. Toronto form
Inter Miami vs. Toronto head to head
Inter Miami
83%
Toronto
17%
Oct 5, 2024
Toronto
0 : 1
Inter Miami
Jul 17, 2024
Inter Miami
3 : 1
Toronto
Sep 20, 2023
Inter Miami
4 : 0
Toronto
Mar 18, 2023
Toronto
2 : 0
Inter Miami
Sep 30, 2022
Toronto
0 : 1
Inter Miami
Aug 21, 2022
Inter Miami
2 : 1
Toronto
