Two of the NBA's hottest teams collide at Chase Center as the Golden State Warriors aim to extend their remarkable 16-1 streak against the Houston Rockets while strengthening their playoff position in a crowded Western Conference race.
The Rockets bring scorching momentum with 14 wins in their last 16 games behind Jalen Green's 21.3 points per game and Alperen Sengun's double-double prowess, though they've historically struggled on the road against winning teams.
With Stephen Curry fresh off a 37-point performance and the Warriors sporting a near-perfect 20-2 record when pairing him with Jimmy Butler, Sunday's showdown between the fifth-seeded Golden State Warriors and second-seeded Houston Rockets promises playoff-level intensity with significant seeding implications on the line.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets prediction: who will win?
For today's Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 55% chance of defeating the Rockets.
Pre-game probabilities
Golden State Warriors
Moneyline
Win %
55%
45%
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors: 55% win probability
- Defensive efficiency (Golden State has allowed 8,535 points while Houston has allowed 8,506 - nearly identical despite playing one more game)
- Momentum advantage (Warriors are on a five-game winning streak with perfect WWWWW recent form)
- Home court advantage (Warriors' 5th place standing in the highly competitive Western Conference shows their ability to protect home court)
Houston Rockets: 45% win probability
- Road game vulnerability (Despite their 2nd place standing, Houston must face a Warriors team with tremendous momentum)
- Recent inconsistency (Rockets' WWLWW form shows they've dropped games recently despite their strong overall record)
- Scoring differential concerns (Houston's +423 point differential is slightly less impressive than their standing might suggest)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Best NBA sportsbook promos
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets preview
Sunday's showdown at Chase Center features two of the hottest teams in the Western Conference, with the second-seeded Rockets riding a remarkable 14-2 stretch into San Francisco to face the Warriors, who've been nearly unstoppable themselves with 14 wins in their last 17 outings.
Steph Curry continues to be the engine for Golden State, dropping 37 points against the Lakers in their previous outing, while the Jimmy Butler partnership has quietly transformed this team into a serious contender with an incredible 20-2 record when both stars share the court.
Houston's explosive offense is led by Jalen Green's 21.3 points per game, with the young guard coming off a 22-point performance against Utah where he shot an efficient 46.7% from the floor.
Despite the Rockets' impressive surge up the standings, history favors the home team with the Warriors having dominated this matchup recently, winning 16 of their last 17 encounters against Houston.
Both squads enter this pivotal late-season clash fully healthy with no reported injuries, setting the stage for what should be an entertaining, high-scoring affair if recent trends hold – six of Houston's last seven games against Western Conference teams have gone OVER the total points line.
The Warriors' exceptional home form makes them slight favorites, but don't count out these Rockets who've proven their ability to beat elite teams throughout the season, most recently taking down the Thunder.
The playoff seeding implications couldn't be bigger – Golden State could potentially climb as high as third in the West with continued success, while Houston looks to strengthen its grip on the second seed.
Expect a playoff atmosphere at Chase Center as these red-hot teams battle in what might just be a preview of a potential first-round matchup come late April.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets form
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets head to head
Golden State Warriors
67%
Houston Rockets
33%
Feb 14, 2025
Houston Rockets
98 : 105
Golden State Warriors
Dec 12, 2024
Houston Rockets
91 : 90
Golden State Warriors
Dec 6, 2024
Golden State Warriors
99 : 93
Houston Rockets
Nov 3, 2024
Houston Rockets
121 : 127
Golden State Warriors
Apr 5, 2024
Houston Rockets
110 : 133
Golden State Warriors
Nov 21, 2023
Golden State Warriors
121 : 116
Houston Rockets
