The Memphis Grizzlies roll into Charlotte with serious playoff positioning at stake as they face a Hornets squad that's been gutted by injuries to key players including LaMelo Ball and Brandon Miller.
Memphis brings the league's second-best scoring offense (121.7 PPG) against Charlotte's bottom-three attack, though the Hornets' home court might provide some comfort against a Grizzlies team that's sometimes shaky on defense.
All eyes will be on potential game-time decision Ja Morant as the red-hot Desmond Bane leads the Memphis Grizzlies against Miles Bridges and the Charlotte Hornets in what could be a statement game for the visiting playoff hopefuls.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 84% chance of defeating the Hornets.
Pre-game probabilities
Memphis Grizzlies
Moneyline
Win %
84%
16%
Charlotte Hornets
Memphis Grizzlies: 84% win probability
- Offensive firepower (9490 points scored this season, ranking among the highest in the Western Conference)
- Strong winning record (46 wins compared to Charlotte's 19)
- Superior point differential (+363 compared to Charlotte's -650)
Charlotte Hornets: 16% win probability
- Poor overall record (19-59, ranking 14th in the Eastern Conference)
- Weak scoring output (8242 points scored, among the lowest in the league)
- Terrible recent form (LLLWL indicates poor momentum heading into this matchup)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Charlotte Hornets | Memphis Grizzlies | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies preview
The Memphis Grizzlies bring their high-octane offense to Spectrum Center Tuesday night as they face a depleted Charlotte Hornets squad in what looks like a mismatch on paper.
Riding a two-game winning streak after a narrow victory against Detroit, Memphis sits 8th in the West but could climb as high as 5th with a strong finish to the regular season.
Desmond Bane was absolutely unconscious last game, dropping 38 points against the Pistons, while Jaren Jackson Jr. continues to be a two-way force with his scoring punch and shot-blocking prowess.
The Hornets, meanwhile, are limping to the season's finish line without their franchise cornerstone LaMelo Ball and rookie Brandon Miller, having dropped three straight and 10 of their last 12 contests.
Mark Williams has been a rare bright spot for Charlotte, putting up 22 points on efficient shooting in their recent loss to Chicago, but the Hornets' league-worst first-quarter scoring (25.2 points) typically puts them in early holes.
History doesn't favor the home team either, as Charlotte has lost a staggering 21 of their last 22 home games against winning Western Conference opponents.
Memphis dominated their previous meeting in January with a 132-120 victory, and with the Grizzlies boasting the league's second-best scoring offense against Charlotte's 28th-ranked attack, this could get ugly fast.
I'd keep an eye on how the Hornets' Miles Bridges matches up with Jackson Jr. in what might be the only competitive individual battle in an otherwise lopsided affair.
Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies form
Charlotte Hornets vs. Memphis Grizzlies head to head
Charlotte Hornets
20%
Memphis Grizzlies
80%
Apr 8, 2025
Charlotte Hornets
0 : 0
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 23, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies
132 : 120
Charlotte Hornets
Oct 11, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
94 : 119
Charlotte Hornets
Mar 14, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
98 : 110
Charlotte Hornets
Feb 11, 2024
Charlotte Hornets
115 : 106
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 5, 2023
Charlotte Hornets
107 : 131
Memphis Grizzlies
