The Pacers are riding a four-game winning streak and have won 10 of their last 12 contests as they welcome the floundering Wizards to Gainbridge Fieldhouse Tuesday night.
Washington, losers of four of their last five, face a daunting challenge against an Indiana team that's torched them with over 130 points in their last two meetings—including a 53-point blowout less than two weeks ago.
The key matchup pits the Pacers' high-octane offense, fueled by Myles Turner's hot hand and Tyrese Haliburton's playmaking, against a Wizards defense that ranks dead last in the league, allowing a whopping 118.9 points per game on the road as Indiana Pacers host Washington Wizards.
Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards matchup, our predictive model gives the Pacers a 72.75% chance of defeating the Wizards.
Pre-game probabilities
Indiana Pacers
Moneyline
Win %
72.75%
27.25%
Washington Wizards
Indiana Pacers: 72.75% win probability
- Offensive firepower (Indiana ranks 4th in the Eastern Conference with 9165 points scored)
- Strong recent form (The Pacers are on a WWWWL streak, showing excellent momentum)
- Home court advantage (4th place in the East with a 47-31 record)
Washington Wizards: 27.25% win probability
- Poor defensive record (Washington has conceded 9413 points, the most in the Eastern Conference)
- Abysmal win-loss record (Washington sits 15th in the East with only 17 wins from 78 games)
- Terrible recent form (The Wizards are on a LLWLL streak, showing continued struggles)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Indiana Pacers | Washington Wizards | |
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| Moneyline |
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Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards preview
The red-hot Pacers look to complete a season sweep over the struggling Wizards when they clash at Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight in what could be a lopsided affair given Indiana's recent surge of 12 wins in their last 15 outings.
Washington limps into Indianapolis having lost 10 of their last 12 games, with their defensive woes exposed in Sunday's 124-90 thrashing by Boston where they allowed 24 three-pointers.
Indiana's offensive juggernaut, averaging 117.5 points per game, has been fueled by Myles Turner's consistent scoring touch, as evidenced by his team-leading 24 points in their impressive road victory over Denver.
The talent gap looms large with the Wizards relying heavily on rookie Alex Sarr (16 points last game) while missing several key players including Khris Middleton and Saddiq Bey.
What makes this matchup particularly concerning for Washington is their league-worst first-quarter defense, surrendering 30.9 points per game to start games, against a Pacers squad that ranks second in fourth-quarter scoring (29.0 points).
History doesn't favor the visitors either, as Indiana has dominated this season's series, including a stunning 162-109 demolition of the Wizards on March 27th.
With the Pacers fighting to maintain their fourth seed in the Eastern Conference—currently three games ahead of Milwaukee—expect Tyrese Haliburton (who dished out 14 assists against Denver) to orchestrate another offensive clinic.
While the 18.5-point spread seems massive, the combination of Indiana's scoring prowess and Washington's defensive vulnerabilities could make this another forgettable night for the young Wizards squad.
Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards form
Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards head to head
Indiana Pacers
80%
Washington Wizards
20%
Apr 8, 2025
Indiana Pacers
0 : 0
Washington Wizards
Mar 27, 2025
Washington Wizards
109 : 162
Indiana Pacers
Feb 13, 2025
Washington Wizards
130 : 134
Indiana Pacers
Nov 24, 2024
Indiana Pacers
115 : 103
Washington Wizards
Jan 11, 2024
Indiana Pacers
112 : 104
Washington Wizards
Dec 16, 2023
Washington Wizards
137 : 123
Indiana Pacers
