The surging Toronto Maple Leafs bring their four-game winning streak to Sunrise where they'll face a Florida Panthers squad that's dropped five straight and dealing with a rash of injuries to key players.
Toronto sits atop the Atlantic Division thanks to their explosive offense (3.28 goals per game) and elite power play (26%), while the Panthers' once-formidable attack has managed just two goals or fewer in each of their last six contests.
Recent history favors Florida with six wins in their last ten meetings, but momentum clearly sides with Auston Matthews and the Maple Leafs as the home team Panthers desperately need to halt their slide.
Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Florida Panthers vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 72.5% chance of defeating the Panthers.
Pre-game probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
Florida Panthers
Toronto Maple Leafs: 72.5% win probability
- Superior offensive production (250 goals for compared to Panthers' 238)
- Better recent form (WWWWL versus Panthers' LLLLL slump)
- Higher points total (98 points in 76 games versus Panthers' 92 in 77 games)
Florida Panthers: 27.5% win probability
- Terrible recent form (five consecutive losses)
- Declining defensive performance (209 goals against)
- Struggling to convert chances (only 238 goals scored despite being 5th in the conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Florida Panthers | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs preview
The red-hot Maple Leafs bring their four-game winning streak to the Sunshine State where they'll face a Panthers squad that's hit a serious rough patch, going winless in their last five outings.
Toronto's offensive firepower has been on full display during their recent 8-1-1 run, with William Nylander fresh off a two-goal performance against Columbus and Auston Matthews finding the net again after a brief scoring drought.
Florida's struggling offense has mustered just two goals or fewer in each of their last six games – a concerning trend for a team that's seen division rivals closing the gap in the standings.
The goaltending matchup likely features Toronto's Anthony Stolarz, coming off a shutout against Columbus, against Florida's Sergei Bobrovsky, who'll be tasked with steadying the Panthers' ship.
These Atlantic Division rivals just faced off last week with Toronto claiming a tight 3-2 victory, their first win in the season series after Florida dominated recent matchups.
Both teams have already punched their playoff tickets, but this contest has serious implications for seeding with Toronto holding a six-point edge for the division lead.
Keep an eye on the injury report, as Florida might welcome back several key players who were rested Sunday, including Aleksander Barkov and Sam Reinhart.
With Toronto's road offense averaging 3.38 goals per game and the Panthers desperately needing to snap their skid, expect a tight, playoff-atmosphere battle at Amerant Bank Arena.
Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Florida Panthers
50%
Toronto Maple Leafs
50%
Apr 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 : 2
Florida Panthers
Mar 13, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 3
Florida Panthers
Nov 28, 2024
Florida Panthers
5 : 1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 16, 2024
Florida Panthers
5 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 1, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
6 : 4
Florida Panthers
Nov 29, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 1
Florida Panthers
