The Philadelphia Flyers welcome the New York Islanders to Wells Fargo Center riding a hot streak, having won four of their last five games despite being eliminated from playoff contention.
New York limps into Philadelphia after dropping six of their last eight, with their special teams woes (league-worst penalty kill and second-worst power play) potentially proving decisive against a Flyers squad finding its rhythm on home ice.
Expect an offensive showdown as the Flyers look to exploit the Islanders' defensive vulnerabilities when the home team hosts the away team in what could be a high-scoring Metropolitan Division clash.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. New York Islanders prediction: who will win?
For today's Philadelphia Flyers vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Flyers a 72.5% chance of defeating the Islanders.
Pre-game probabilities
Philadelphia Flyers
Moneyline
Win %
72.5%
27.5%
New York Islanders
Philadelphia Flyers: 72.5% win probability
- Superior recent form (WLWWW in last 5 games compared to Islanders' LLWWL)
- Better offensive capability (227 goals scored vs Islanders' 218)
- Home ice advantage coupled with momentum from winning 3 of their last 5 games
New York Islanders: 27.5% win probability
- Poor recent form with 3 losses in their last 5 games (LLWWL)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (247 goals against, ranking in bottom half of East)
- Road game challenges with only 34 wins overall this season (compared to Flyers' upward trajectory)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Best NHL sportsbook promos
Philadelphia Flyers vs. New York Islanders preview
The struggling Islanders head to Wells Fargo Center this Saturday desperately clinging to fading playoff hopes, sitting 8 points behind the final wild card spot after dropping six of their last eight games, including a brutal 9-2 thrashing by the Rangers on Thursday.
Philly, playing with house money since being eliminated from contention, enters with surprising momentum after winning four of five, including an impressive 8-5 victory over those same Rangers.
Keep an eye on the special teams battle – it's literally worst against second-worst, with the Islanders' league-worst penalty kill (71.9%) facing the Flyers' 30th-ranked power play (14.8%).
Travis Konecny has been Philly's offensive engine all season with 75 points, while the Islanders will lean on Bo Horvat (54 points) and Anders Lee (28 goals) to generate offense without injured star Mathew Barzal.
The goaltending situation adds another wrinkle – Ilya Sorokin missed Thursday's game but is expected back for the Islanders, though if he can't go, New York's backup situation looks dicey.
Home ice advantage might prove crucial, with Philadelphia sporting a respectable 19-19-1 record at Wells Fargo Center while the road-weary Islanders have managed just one win in their last six away games.
Both teams have been lighting up scoresheets lately – the over has hit in 10 of New York's last 13 games and five of Philly's last seven.
The Flyers' newfound offensive spark combined with their looser, pressure-free hockey makes them dangerous hosts for an Islanders team that's watching their season slip away.
Betting on the NHL?
Sporting Post is your trusted guide for NHL betting. We offer expert NHL predictions, top NHL picks, and the latest NHL odds. Our analysis and real-time insights help you make smart, confident bets. Make sure to use the best sportsbooks, sports betting apps, and betting sites. We've reviewed and tested the best NHL betting sites here.