Sunday's clash at Soldier Field pits Gregg Berhalter's surprisingly competent Chicago Fire squad against an Inter Miami side riding high with Leo Messi in scorching form after his midweek heroics against LAFC.
The Fire have been no pushovers, scoring in each match this season with Jonathan Bamba providing the creative spark, though they'll need to shore up a defense that conceded twice in quick succession against the Red Bulls last weekend.
History favors the visitors, with the Herons romping to a 4-1 victory in their last trip to Chicago, setting the stage for what promises to be a fascinating encounter between Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami.
Chicago Fire vs. Inter Miami prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami matchup, our predictive model gives the Miami a 78.33% chance of defeating the Fire.
Pre-game probabilities
Chicago Fire
Moneyline
Win %
21.67%
78.33%
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire: 21.67% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (12 goals conceded in 7 matches)
- Inconsistent performances despite recent wins (LDWWW shows early season struggles)
- Lower points-per-game ratio (1.57) compared to Miami (2.33), indicating less consistency
Inter Miami: 78.33% win probability
- Undefeated record with 4 wins and 2 draws (0 losses in 6 games played)
- Impressive recent form with 4 consecutive wins (DWWWW)
- Second-best offensive output in the league (12 goals in just 6 matches, averaging 2 goals per game)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| Chicago Fire | Inter Miami | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Chicago Fire vs. Inter Miami preview
The Chicago Fire look to bounce back from their 2-1 defeat to New York Red Bulls as they host an in-form Inter Miami squad at Soldier Field this Sunday.
Gregg Berhalter's men have been road warriors this season with impressive away victories, but they'll need Jonathan Bamba's creative spark to unlock Miami's defense after the Frenchman notched Chicago's lone goal last week.
Miami rides into town with momentum after Lionel Messi's midweek masterclass against LAFC in the CONCACAF Champions League, where the Argentine legend bagged a brace in their 3-1 semifinal victory.
Recent history doesn't favor the Fire, who were demolished 4-1 by Miami in their last meeting at Soldier Field, with Luis Suárez grabbing two goals in that lopsided affair.
The Fire's defensive issues remain concerning - they've participated in high-scoring affairs with both teams finding the net in their last six consecutive matches.
Chicago will be hampered by notable absences including Chase Gasper, Brian Gutiérrez, and David Poreba, forcing Omar Gonzalez into the starting lineup.
What makes this matchup particularly fascinating is Miami's resilience when falling behind - they've already salvaged four points in MLS play after conceding first.
If Messi continues his scoring touch and connects with Suárez, Miami's deadly Barcelona reunion could spoil the Fire's hopes of climbing the Eastern Conference standings.
Chicago Fire vs. Inter Miami form
Chicago Fire vs. Inter Miami head to head
Chicago Fire
60%
Inter Miami
40%
Sep 1, 2024
Chicago Fire
1 : 4
Inter Miami
Jul 20, 2024
Inter Miami
2 : 1
Chicago Fire
Oct 5, 2023
Chicago Fire
4 : 1
Inter Miami
Mar 25, 2023
Inter Miami
2 : 3
Chicago Fire
Sep 11, 2022
Chicago Fire
3 : 1
Inter Miami
Feb 26, 2022
Inter Miami
0 : 0
Chicago Fire
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