With the Calgary Flames clinging to their playoff hopes by a thread, Sunday's matchup against the NHL-worst San Jose Sharks couldn't come at a better time for the hungry home squad.
While the Flames' offense has struggled much of the season (averaging just 2.59 goals per game), their standout defensive unit anchored by MacKenzie Weegar and Kevin Bahl has kept them in the hunt by allowing a respectable 2.91 goals per contest.
The difference-maker might just be between the pipes where Calgary's Dustin Wolf (.910 save percentage) has been rock-solid compared to San Jose's leaky defense that's surrendering nearly four goals per game as the Calgary Flames host the San Jose Sharks at the Scotiabank Saddledome.
Calgary Flames vs. San Jose Sharks prediction: who will win?
For today's Calgary Flames vs San Jose Sharks matchup, our predictive model gives the Flames a 85% chance of defeating the Sharks.
Pre-game probabilities
Calgary Flames
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
San Jose Sharks
Calgary Flames: 85% win probability
- Superior goal production (210 goals for compared to San Jose's 207)
- Better defensive record (231 goals against versus Sharks' 305)
- Strong recent form with 'WLWLW' showing 3 wins in last 5 games
San Jose Sharks: 15% win probability
- League-worst record with only 20 wins in 79 games
- Poorest defensive performance in the Western Conference (305 goals conceded)
- Terrible recent form with 5 consecutive losses (LLLLL)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Calgary Flames | San Jose Sharks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Calgary Flames vs. San Jose Sharks preview
The stumbling Sharks drag their league-worst 20-48-11 record into the Scotiabank Saddledome tonight where they'll face a Flames squad desperately clinging to their playoff hopes with just a handful of games remaining.
Calgary's solid defensive unit, anchored by the impressive MacKenzie Weegar and emerging Kevin Bahl, has been their saving grace this season, allowing just 2.91 goals per game despite their offensive struggles.
Between the pipes, it's a tale of two goalies - Sharks' Alexandar Georgiev has floundered with a dismal .870 save percentage while Flames' young netminder Dustin Wolf has quietly put together a stellar campaign posting a respectable .910 save percentage with 13.7 goals saved above average.
San Jose's rookie sensation Macklin Celebrini has been a rare bright spot in an otherwise dismal season, but he'll have his work cut out against Calgary's stingy defense that's become quite adept at creating turnovers and limiting quality chances.
The Flames will look to veterans Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau to generate much-needed offense as they've combined for 59 goals this season, despite Calgary ranking near the bottom of the league in scoring at just 2.59 goals per game.
Coming off a tough 4-3 loss to Anaheim, Calgary knows this matchup against the league's worst team represents a must-win scenario if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive.
The last time these teams met, well... let's just say it wasn't pretty for San Jose, who've now managed to score just 19 goals over their last eight contests while surrendering nearly four per game.
With both teams struggling offensively, expect a tight-checking affair where special teams could make all the difference - Calgary's 20.44% power play efficiency might just be the edge they need against a Sharks penalty kill that's been leaking goals all season.
Calgary Flames vs. San Jose Sharks form
Calgary Flames vs. San Jose Sharks head to head
Calgary Flames
83%
San Jose Sharks
17%
Apr 8, 2025
San Jose Sharks
2 : 3
Calgary Flames
Feb 24, 2025
Calgary Flames
3 : 2
San Jose Sharks
Dec 29, 2024
San Jose Sharks
1 : 3
Calgary Flames
Apr 19, 2024
Calgary Flames
5 : 1
San Jose Sharks
Apr 10, 2024
San Jose Sharks
2 : 3
Calgary Flames
Feb 16, 2024
Calgary Flames
3 : 6
San Jose Sharks
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