The Ottawa Senators host the Philadelphia Flyers in a matchup that pits a playoff-bound team against one enduring a forgettable season, with the defensive prowess of Ottawa's Thomas Chabot and goaltender Linus Ullmark facing off against Philadelphia's sputtering offense that barely musters 2.85 goals per game.
The Flyers enter with a glimmer of hope after their unexpected 8-5 victory over the Rangers, but will need to overcome the Senators' stingy defense that has allowed just eight goals in their last five games if they want any chance at closing their season on a high note.
All eyes will be on whether Claude Giroux can haunt his former club when the Ottawa Senators face the Philadelphia Flyers in what could be a defensive chess match at Canadian Tire Centre.
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction: who will win?
For today's Ottawa Senators vs Philadelphia Flyers matchup, our predictive model gives the Sens a 52.5% chance of defeating the Flyers.
Pre-game probabilities
Ottawa Senators
Moneyline
Win %
52.5%
47.5%
Philadelphia Flyers
Ottawa Senators: 52.5% win probability
- Strong offensive output (229 goals scored this season)
- Excellent recent form (WLWWW in last five games)
- Higher position in standings (6th in Eastern Conference with 92 points)
Philadelphia Flyers: 47.5% win probability
- Defensive vulnerabilities (274 goals against this season)
- Lower point total (75 points compared to Ottawa's 92)
- Inconsistent goal production (231 goals scored despite playing same number of games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Ottawa Senators | Philadelphia Flyers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers preview
The Ottawa Senators aim to improve their playoff positioning when they host the struggling Philadelphia Flyers at Canadian Tire Centre this Sunday, in what promises to be a clash of teams on opposite trajectories.
Ottawa has already clinched a playoff spot with a solid 43-30-6 record, powered by a stingy defense that's allowed just eight goals in their last five games and ranks among the NHL's best at 2.79 goals per game.
Linus Ullmark has been a wall between the pipes for the Sens with a .911 save percentage, while the defensive corps led by Thomas Chabot and Nick Jensen has effectively shut down opponents throughout the season.
The Flyers' forgettable campaign (33-37-9) has been marred by defensive woes, giving up 3.44 goals per game, with goaltender Samuel Ersson posting a concerning .881 save percentage.
Despite their struggles, Philly's coming off an impressive 8-5 victory over the Rangers, suggesting they won't go down without a fight in this late-season matchup.
Keep an eye on the Senators' top line featuring Tim Stutzle and Claude Giroux – facing his former team – as they'll look to exploit the Flyers' defensive vulnerabilities.
For Philadelphia, young star Matvei Michkov and Travis Konecny have been rare bright spots in a dim season, combining for nearly 50 goals.
Don't expect a barnburner though, as both teams have struggled offensively all year, with neither averaging more than 2.86 goals per game.
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers form
Ottawa Senators vs. Philadelphia Flyers head to head
Ottawa Senators
67%
Philadelphia Flyers
33%
Mar 11, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Nov 15, 2024
Ottawa Senators
4 : 5
Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 3, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
4 : 2
Ottawa Senators
Jan 21, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
3 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Oct 14, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 2
Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 30, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Philadelphia Flyers
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