The San Antonio Spurs welcome the Toronto Raptors to Frost Bank Center for a Sunday afternoon clash where both lottery-bound teams look to end disappointing seasons on a high note, with injuries playing a significant role as both squads will be missing several key players including Victor Wembanyama for the home team and RJ Barrett for the visitors.
Recent form suggests a competitive matchup despite the standings – Toronto boasts the second-best cover percentage in the NBA at 60% and has won five of the last six head-to-head meetings as the road team, while San Antonio has dominated Atlantic Division opponents as favorites following a loss.
With both the Spurs and Raptors entrenched in multi-year playoff droughts, this final regular season contest offers a glimpse at young talent like Stephon Castle (coming off a 21-point performance) and Jared Rhoden (fresh from dropping 23 against Charlotte) as the San Antonio Spurs host the Toronto Raptors in what might be more meaningful for draft positioning than the standings.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Toronto Raptors prediction: who will win?
For today's San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 58.67% chance of defeating the Raptors.
San Antonio Spurs: 58.67% win probability
- Superior offensive firepower (9217 points scored this season compared to Raptors' 8973)
- Higher season win total (33 wins vs 30 for Toronto despite playing in the more competitive Western Conference)
- More consistent scoring output (113.8 points per game vs Toronto's 110.8 points per game)
Toronto Raptors: 41.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (LWWLL compared to Spurs' LWLLL, showing similar struggles but worse point differential)
- Defensive vulnerability (Allowing 115 points per game, ranking in the bottom third defensively)
- Road game disadvantage (Spurs have home court advantage with a slightly better home record than Toronto's road record)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Toronto Raptors odds
Here are the latest odds as the San Antonio Spurs host the Toronto Raptors in NBA action on Sunday, April 13.
San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -225 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +205 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
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San Antonio Spurs vs. Toronto Raptors preview
Sunday's clash between the Raptors and Spurs at Frost Bank Center has 'meaningless end-of-season game' written all over it, but don't tell that to the young players fighting for roster spots next season.
Both franchises have endured playoff droughts—Toronto missing three straight postseasons while San Antonio hasn't tasted playoff basketball in six years—making this matchup more about evaluation than standings.
The injury report looks like a who's who of both rosters, with the Spurs missing Victor Wembanyama and the Raptors without RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and several others.
Despite being heavy underdogs, Toronto brings a surprisingly strong 60% cover percentage (second-best in the NBA) into this contest, making them an intriguing bet against a Spurs team that's struggled in the favorite role.
Keep an eye on Stephon Castle, who's coming off an impressive 21-point performance against Golden State and has shown flashes of being a cornerstone piece for San Antonio's rebuild.
Jared Rhoden emerged as an unexpected contributor for Toronto last game, dropping 23 points and grabbing 7 boards against Charlotte—exactly the kind of late-season audition that makes these otherwise forgettable games worth watching.
The Raptors have historically performed well as road underdogs in this matchup, with the road team winning five of the last six meetings between these franchises.
While casual fans might skip this one, diehards know these season-ending games often provide the most authentic glimpses into a team's future—when the pressure's off and young talents can simply play their game.
Key stats
- 1San Antonio Spurs rank 13th in Western Conference with 33 wins and 48 losses
- 2Toronto Raptors sit 11th in Eastern Conference with 30 wins and 51 losses
- 3Spurs' recent form (LWLLL) shows they've won only 1 of their last 5 games
- 4Raptors' recent form (LWWLL) indicates they've won 2 of their last 5 games
San Antonio Spurs vs. Toronto Raptors form


San Antonio Spurs vs. Toronto Raptors head to head
San Antonio Spurs
20%
Toronto Raptors
80%
Apr 13, 2025
San Antonio Spurs
0 : 0
Toronto Raptors
Mar 23, 2025
Toronto Raptors
89 : 123
San Antonio Spurs
Jul 21, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
100 : 89
Toronto Raptors
Feb 13, 2024
Toronto Raptors
99 : 122
San Antonio Spurs
Nov 5, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
116 : 123
Toronto Raptors
Feb 9, 2023
Toronto Raptors
112 : 98
San Antonio Spurs
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