The Lakers head to Moda Center with their playoff seeding locked up, likely resting key players like LeBron James and Luka Doncic against a Portland team desperate to end their season on a high note.
While the Lakers boast superior season stats – shooting 48% from the field compared to Portland's 45% – history favors the Blazers who've won four of their last five day games against LA, with the injury-plagued home squad still showing surprising fight despite missing Ayton and several others.
All eyes will be on whether Anfernee Simons returns for Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers in what could be a more competitive matchup than their respective records suggest.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers prediction: who will win?
For today's Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Lakers matchup, our predictive model gives the Blazers a 69.33% chance of defeating the Lakers.
Pre-game probabilities
Portland Trail Blazers
Moneyline
Win %
69.33%
30.67%
Los Angeles Lakers
Portland Trail Blazers: 69.33% win probability
- Home court advantage (35 wins at home this season)
- Strong defensive performance (8984 goals scored against, ranking 7th in Western Conference)
- Recent momentum with 2 wins in last 5 games (LLWLW recent form)
Los Angeles Lakers: 30.67% win probability
- Poor road performance (21 away losses this season)
- Defensive vulnerability (9089 goals against, ranking 11th in Western Conference)
- Inconsistent recent form despite winning record (WWLWW showing lapses in consistency)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Portland Trail Blazers | Los Angeles Lakers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers preview
The Lakers cruise into Portland riding a six-game winning streak against the Blazers, but don't expect LeBron and company to break a sweat with their playoff seed already locked up.
Portland's struggling squad (losers of seven of their last ten) might actually catch a break facing what'll likely be a Lakers B-team resting their stars before the postseason grind begins.
Moda Center has been a bright spot for the otherwise disappointing Blazers, who've managed 21 wins at home despite another playoff-less campaign—their fourth straight.
Keep an eye on Shaedon Sharpe, who's coming off a scorching 37-point performance against Utah and could feast against the Lakers' reserves.
The Blazers' injury woes continue with Deandre Ayton, Jerami Grant, and others sidelined, while Anfernee Simons remains questionable for this Sunday matchup.
Lakers' road form has been their Achilles' heel this season with 21 of their 31 losses coming away from home—a stat that'll give Portland fans some hope.
Historically, the Trail Blazers have won four of their last five daytime games against the Lakers, suggesting the unusual afternoon tip-off could play into Portland's hands.
Despite sitting near the bottom of the league in turnovers (16 per game) and opponent free throw percentage, Portland's scrappy squad should have enough pride and home-court advantage to close their season with a win against a Lakers team already looking ahead to the playoffs.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers form
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Lakers head to head
Portland Trail Blazers
40%
Los Angeles Lakers
60%
Apr 13, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers
0 : 0
Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 21, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers
102 : 110
Los Angeles Lakers
Jan 3, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers
114 : 106
Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 9, 2024
Los Angeles Lakers
107 : 98
Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 22, 2024
Los Angeles Lakers
134 : 110
Portland Trail Blazers
Nov 18, 2023
Portland Trail Blazers
95 : 107
Los Angeles Lakers
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