The Dallas Stars limp into Detroit on a five-game winless streak, desperately seeking to regain their form before the playoffs against a Red Wings team fresh off an overtime victory over Tampa Bay.
Jake Oettinger will mind the net for Dallas against Petr Mrazek, with the Stars' potent offense (3.38 goals per game) facing Detroit's league-worst penalty kill (69.5%).
It's a clash of contrasting fortunes at Little Caesars Arena tonight as the playoff-bound Dallas Stars aim to continue their dominance - having won eight straight meetings - against a Detroit Red Wings squad playing out the string after another disappointing season.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Dallas Stars prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 72.5% chance of defeating the Wings.
Pre-game probabilities
Detroit Red Wings
Moneyline
Win %
27.5%
72.5%
Dallas Stars
Detroit Red Wings: 27.5% win probability
- Lower league position (11th in Eastern Conference with 81 points)
- Defensive vulnerabilities (249 goals against this season)
- Inconsistent form with 37 wins compared to 35 losses
Dallas Stars: 72.5% win probability
- Superior standing in league (3rd in Western Conference with 106 points)
- Strong offensive production (272 goals for this season)
- Consistent winning record (50 wins in 80 games played)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Detroit Red Wings | Dallas Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Detroit Red Wings vs. Dallas Stars preview
The skidding Dallas Stars roll into the Motor City hoping to snap a five-game winless streak against a Detroit Red Wings squad already eliminated from playoff contention but coming off an impressive overtime win against Tampa Bay.
Dallas has absolutely owned this matchup recently with eight straight victories over Detroit, though their current 0-3-2 slide has raised some eyebrows with the playoffs looming.
Jake Oettinger will be between the pipes for the Stars, looking to regain his top form after a rough stretch that's seen Dallas surrender 3.2 goals per game during their recent skid.
The Red Wings' offensive spark has come from Marco Kasper, who netted two goals including the overtime winner against Tampa Bay, while Patrick Kane continues to show flashes of his old self with a goal and assist in their last outing.
Despite sitting 6th in the Atlantic Division, Detroit's power play has been lethal this season, converting at an impressive 27.2% rate (4th in the NHL) – though they'll face a stern test against Dallas' 3rd-ranked penalty kill (82.4%).
The Stars' offensive firepower remains potent with Jason Robertson (35 goals) and Wyatt Johnston (32 goals) leading the charge, but they'll need more consistency to build momentum before their likely first-round playoff matchup with Colorado.
Detroit goaltender Petr Mrazek is expected to start against his former team in what promises to be a meaningful matchup for him personally, even if the Red Wings are simply playing for pride at this point.
For a Dallas team desperate to rediscover their winning form before the postseason, Little Caesars Arena presents both an opportunity and a potential pitfall against a Red Wings team with nothing to lose.
Detroit Red Wings vs. Dallas Stars form
Detroit Red Wings vs. Dallas Stars head to head
Detroit Red Wings
0%
Dallas Stars
100%
Jan 20, 2025
Dallas Stars
4 : 1
Detroit Red Wings
Jan 24, 2024
Detroit Red Wings
4 : 5
Dallas Stars
Dec 12, 2023
Dallas Stars
6 : 3
Detroit Red Wings
Apr 10, 2023
Detroit Red Wings
1 : 6
Dallas Stars
Dec 10, 2022
Dallas Stars
3 : 2
Detroit Red Wings
Jan 22, 2022
Detroit Red Wings
4 : 5
Dallas Stars
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