The Washington Capitals, who have secured the best record in the Eastern Conference with a 38-33-9 record, face the struggling New York Islanders (35-33-12) who have been eliminated from playoff contention with just three wins in their last 10 games.
The Capitals bring a potent offense averaging 3.56 goals per game led by Dylan Strome and Alexander Ovechkin, while the Islanders' season has been derailed by offensive woes, scoring just 2.78 goals per game and allowing 20 goals in their last four contests.
New York Islanders vs. Washington Capitals prediction: who will win?
For today's New York Islanders vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Capitals a 60% chance of defeating the Islanders.
Pre-game probabilities
Washington Capitals
Moneyline
Win %
60%
40%
New York Islanders
Washington Capitals: 60% win probability
- League-leading position (1st in Eastern Conference with 109 points)
- Elite offensive production (283 goals scored, 2nd most in the Eastern Conference)
- Strong overall record (50 wins in 80 games played, tied for most in the East)
New York Islanders: 40% win probability
- Poor recent form (WLLLW shows inconsistency down the stretch)
- Defensive struggles (251 goals against, 8th worst in the Eastern Conference)
- Lower position in standings (12th in Eastern Conference with 82 points, 27 points behind Washington)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| New York Islanders | Washington Capitals | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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New York Islanders vs. Washington Capitals preview
The Washington Capitals bring their high-powered offense to UBS Arena Tuesday night to face a struggling New York Islanders team that's been officially eliminated from playoff contention.
While the Capitals have already secured the top spot in the Eastern Conference with their impressive 38-33-9 record, the Islanders' season has fizzled out with just three wins in their last ten games.
Washington's dynamic duo of Dylan Strome and Alexander Ovechkin has been lethal this season, combining for 69 goals and 80 assists, supported by solid defensive play that's limited opponents to just 2.82 goals per game.
The Islanders, meanwhile, have been let down by an anemic offense that's managed just 2.78 goals per game, with only six goals in their last three outings despite Bo Horvat and Anders Lee's best efforts.
Goaltender Ilya Sorokin has been New York's lone bright spot with a .906 save percentage and 10.0 goals saved above average, but he's received little support from a defense that's surrendered 20 goals in their last four games.
This late-season matchup might not have playoff implications for either side, but Washington will be looking to maintain momentum while the Islanders hope to salvage some pride on home ice.
New York Islanders vs. Washington Capitals form
New York Islanders vs. Washington Capitals head to head
New York Islanders
50%
Washington Capitals
50%
Apr 6, 2025
New York Islanders
4 : 1
Washington Capitals
Nov 29, 2024
Washington Capitals
5 : 4
New York Islanders
Dec 30, 2023
New York Islanders
5 : 1
Washington Capitals
Dec 21, 2023
Washington Capitals
3 : 2
New York Islanders
Nov 12, 2023
New York Islanders
1 : 4
Washington Capitals
Nov 2, 2023
Washington Capitals
0 : 3
New York Islanders
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