The Toronto Maple Leafs take their three-game winning streak into Buffalo looking to complete a season sweep of the struggling Sabres at KeyBank Center on Tuesday night.
While Toronto has been clicking on both ends of the ice, Buffalo enters mired in a three-game skid and has surrendered a concerning 13 goals during that stretch.
The matchup presents a stark contrast between Toronto's playoff-bound squad looking to secure the Eastern Conference's second seed and a Sabres team simply trying to end their disappointing season on a positive note.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs an 85% chance of defeating the Sabres.
Pre-game probabilities
Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline
Win %
85%
15%
Buffalo Sabres
Toronto Maple Leafs: 85% win probability
- Elite offensive production (260 goals scored, 2nd highest in Eastern Conference)
- Strong position in standings (2nd in Eastern Conference with 104 points)
- Excellent recent form (WWWLW in last five games showing consistent performance)
Buffalo Sabres: 15% win probability
- Poor defensive record (281 goals against, 3rd worst in Eastern Conference)
- Inconsistent performance (35-38 record suggests inability to maintain winning streaks)
- Significant goal differential (-17, indicating struggles in close games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Buffalo Sabres | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs preview
The Maple Leafs roll into Buffalo riding a three-game winning streak and looking to complete a season sweep of their struggling rivals at KeyBank Center on Tuesday night.
Toronto's offensive firepower has been on full display lately, with Mitch Marner sitting just one point shy of hitting the century mark this season as he leads the team with 99 points (26 goals, 73 assists).
The Sabres, meanwhile, find themselves mired in a three-game skid and have been particularly vulnerable defensively, surrendering a troubling 13 goals in their last three outings.
Special teams could prove decisive, as Toronto's power play has been clicking at over 25 percent while Buffalo's penalty kill ranks among the league's worst at 25th overall.
With Toronto battling to secure the Eastern Conference's second seed and Buffalo simply looking to end their disappointing season on a positive note, expect the visitors to come out with greater urgency and purpose.
The goaltending matchup likely features Joseph Woll (26-14-1, 2.72 GAA) against James Reimer (9-8-2, 2.84 GAA), giving Toronto another edge in what shapes up as a challenging road test for the slumping Sabres.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Buffalo Sabres vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Buffalo Sabres
33%
Toronto Maple Leafs
67%
Dec 21, 2024
Buffalo Sabres
3 : 6
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 15, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 3
Buffalo Sabres
Mar 30, 2024
Buffalo Sabres
0 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 7, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 1
Buffalo Sabres
Dec 22, 2023
Buffalo Sabres
9 : 3
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 4, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 : 6
Buffalo Sabres
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