Orlando City heads to Stade Saputo as clear favorites against a struggling CF Montreal side that has collected just 2 points from a possible 24 this season.
Montreal's offensive woes continue to plague them as they've yet to score in the first half of any match in 2025, while Orlando boasts the Eastern Conference's most potent attack with 15 goals in 8 matches.
Despite drawing their last two matches 0-0, Orlando's solid defensive structure and Montreal's inability to convert chances (just 2 shots on target from 18 attempts in their last outing) point to the visitors having a significant edge in Saturday's clash.
Montreal vs. Orlando City prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Montreal vs Orlando City matchup, our predictive model gives the Lions a 64.5% chance of defeating the Impact.
Pre-game probabilities
Montreal
Moneyline
Win %
35.5%
64.5%
Orlando City
Montreal: 35.5% win probability
- League-worst record (0 wins, 2 draws, 6 losses in 8 matches)
- Anemic offensive output (only 4 goals scored, lowest in the Eastern Conference)
- Poor defensive record (13 goals conceded, third-worst goals against total in the conference)
Orlando City: 64.5% win probability
- Superior goal production (15 goals scored in 8 matches compared to Montreal's 4)
- Strong recent form (DDWWD with 2 wins in last 3 games)
- Much higher position in standings (7th place with 12 points versus Montreal's 15th place)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| Montreal | Orlando City | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Montreal vs. Orlando City preview
Montreal's nightmare season continues with just two points from a possible 24 as they host Orlando City at Stade Saputo on Saturday night.
The hosts have yet to score in the first half all season and haven't led in a single match, managing just four goals while conceding 13 through eight games.
Orlando arrives with a solid 12 points from eight matches, boasting the Eastern Conference's top attack with 15 goals, though they've settled for back-to-back scoreless draws.
The attacking partnership of Martin Ojeda and Mikolaj Pasalic (four goals each) will fancy their chances against Montreal's porous defense, while keeper Pedro Gallese brings confidence after saving all five shots faced in recent action.
Recent history between these sides promises goals – both teams have scored in their last three meetings, including Orlando's emphatic 4-1 victory in their most recent encounter during last season's Leagues Cup.
Montreal vs. Orlando City form
Montreal vs. Orlando City head to head
Montreal
75%
Orlando City
25%
Apr 20, 2024
Montreal
2 : 2
Orlando City
Feb 25, 2024
Orlando City
0 : 0
Montreal
Sep 30, 2023
Orlando City
3 : 0
Montreal
May 6, 2023
Montreal
2 : 0
Orlando City
Oct 17, 2022
Montreal
2 : 0
Orlando City
May 7, 2022
Montreal
4 : 1
Orlando City
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