Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United face off at Subaru Park this Saturday in a crucial Eastern Conference clash where both teams are desperate to bounce back from recent defeats.
The Union have struggled in front of goal lately, scoring just three times in their last five matches, while Atlanta's Emmanuel Latte Lath brings his impressive tally of five goals in eight games into a fixture that historically produces goals, with an average of 3.33 per match in their head-to-head meetings.
Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United matchup, our predictive model gives the Union a 57% chance of defeating the Five Stripes.
Pre-game probabilities
Philadelphia Union
Moneyline
Win %
57%
43%
Atlanta United
Philadelphia Union: 57% win probability
- Strong offensive output (13 goals scored in 8 matches, ranking among the top 5 in the Eastern Conference)
- Resilient home field advantage (Currently sitting 5th in the standings with 13 points from 8 games)
- Momentum shift after recent win (Coming off a 'W' in their recent form of LDLWL, showing ability to bounce back)
Atlanta United: 43% win probability
- Defensive vulnerability (Conceded 13 goals in 8 matches, among the worst in the top half of the table)
- Poor recent form (Only one win in their last five matches with LDWDL record)
- Road struggles (Contributing to their 11th place position with just 9 points from 8 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| Philadelphia Union | Atlanta United | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United preview
Philadelphia Union host Atlanta United at Subaru Park this Saturday with both sides desperate to bounce back from disappointing defeats last weekend.
The Union's attacking woes have been a major concern, having netted just three goals in their last five matches and been shut out twice during their current three-game winless run.
Atlanta enters with more firepower, having exploded for four goals against NYCFC recently, though they faltered in a 1-0 home loss to New England last time out.
Emmanuel Latte Lath has been a revelation for the Five Stripes, bagging five goals in eight appearances and averaging an impressive 0.66 goals per 90 minutes this campaign.
The sides have historically been evenly matched with three draws in their last six meetings, including a 1-1 stalemate in their most recent encounter last September.
Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United form
Philadelphia Union vs. Atlanta United head to head
Philadelphia Union
67%
Atlanta United
33%
Sep 28, 2024
Philadelphia Union
1 : 1
Atlanta United
Apr 14, 2024
Atlanta United
2 : 2
Philadelphia Union
Oct 4, 2023
Philadelphia Union
3 : 2
Atlanta United
Jul 2, 2023
Atlanta United
2 : 0
Philadelphia Union
Sep 17, 2022
Atlanta United
0 : 0
Philadelphia Union
Aug 31, 2022
Philadelphia Union
4 : 1
Atlanta United
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