The Colorado Avalanche look to build on their dominant 5-1 victory in Game 1 as they face the Dallas Stars in the second game of their Western Conference first-round playoff series on Monday night at American Airlines Center.
The Stars, mired in an eight-game losing streak and playing without top scorer Jason Robertson, must find answers for Nathan MacKinnon and a Colorado team that converted 21% of their shots in the opener.
With Mackenzie Blackwood's stellar .958 save percentage contrasting sharply with Jake Oettinger's struggles (.826), Colorado aims to take a commanding 2-0 series lead back home.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 73% chance of defeating the Stars.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
27%
73%
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars: 27% win probability
- Terrible recent form (0-5 in their last five games, worst current streak in the conference)
- Defensive inconsistency (224 goals against, significantly more than top teams like Winnipeg)
- Psychological disadvantage (Despite 3rd place standing, they've lost momentum at the worst time)
Colorado Avalanche: 73% win probability
- Offensive firepower (277 goals scored, tied for 3rd best in Western Conference)
- Momentum advantage (Recent form WLLWL vs Stars' LLLLL slump)
- Road scoring potential (Colorado averages 3.4 goals per game, making them dangerous visitors)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Dallas Stars | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche preview
The Avalanche delivered a crushing 5-1 victory in Game 1, showing dominance at both ends of the ice with MacKinnon leading the charge with two goals and an assist.
Dallas finds itself in a troubling spiral, having lost eight straight games including an alarming six consecutive Game 1 playoff defeats at home under coach Pete DeBoer.
Colorado's netminder Mackenzie Blackwood was nearly impenetrable with a .958 save percentage in the opener, while Stars goalie Jake Oettinger struggled with just 19 saves on 23 shots.
The absence of Jason Robertson, Dallas' regular-season goal leader, has left a significant void in the Stars' offensive arsenal as they desperately look to avoid falling into a 2-0 hole on home ice.
Colorado's special teams edge could prove decisive again after converting 25% of their power play opportunities in Game 1, while maintaining disciplined play with just six penalty minutes.
Expect the desperate Stars to attempt slowing the game down through aggressive forechecking and neutral zone play as they try to neutralize Colorado's momentum and potent offense.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche form
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head
Dallas Stars
50%
Colorado Avalanche
50%
Apr 20, 2025
Dallas Stars
1 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 16, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
4 : 3
Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
6 : 3
Dallas Stars
Nov 30, 2024
Dallas Stars
5 : 3
Colorado Avalanche
Sep 28, 2024
Dallas Stars
4 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Sep 24, 2024
Colorado Avalanche
2 : 3
Dallas Stars
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