The New York Knicks look to reclaim home-court advantage as they head to Little Caesars Arena for a crucial Game 3 against the Detroit Pistons with the first-round series deadlocked at 1-1.
Jalen Brunson's impressive 37-point performance wasn't enough to prevent the Knicks from dropping Game 2, while Cade Cunningham's dominant 33-point, 12-rebound showing has given the Pistons newfound confidence on their home floor.
With Detroit's suffocating defense holding New York to just 42% shooting in their last matchup, all eyes will be on how Tom Thibodeau adjusts his game plan against a Pistons team that's proven far more dangerous than their playoff history suggests.
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 55% chance of defeating the Pistons.
Pre-game probabilities
New York Knicks
Moneyline
Win %
55%
45%
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks: 55% win probability
- Higher season win total (51 wins vs Pistons' 44 wins)
- Better overall offense (9494 points scored vs Pistons' 9471)
- Superior Eastern Conference standing (3rd place vs Pistons' 6th place)
Detroit Pistons: 45% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLWLL compared to Knicks' WLLLW)
- Defensive vulnerability (allowed 9315 points, more than Knicks' 9158)
- Less consistent scoring (differential of +156 points vs Knicks' +336 on the season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts..
| Detroit Pistons | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks and Pistons head into a pivotal Game 3 deadlocked at 1-1 after Detroit stole home-court advantage with a gritty 100-94 win at Madison Square Garden on Monday night.
Jalen Brunson has been shouldering the offensive load for New York, pouring in 37 points in Game 2, but the Knicks' sluggish starts—managing just 18 first-quarter points last game—have become a troubling pattern.
On the flip side, Cade Cunningham has emerged as the postseason force Detroit hoped for, posting a dominant 33-point, 12-rebound performance to lead the Pistons' balanced attack.
The series now shifts to Little Caesars Arena, where the Pistons have historically struggled in the playoffs but will be buoyed by momentum and a home crowd eager to witness their first postseason success in years.
Tom Thibodeau's squad must address their offensive execution against Detroit's surprisingly stingy defense, which held New York to just 36 combined points in the first and third quarters of Game 2.
While the Knicks enter as slight favorites, both teams understand the massive swing in series leverage that awaits the winner of Thursday night's clash.
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks form
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks head to head
Detroit Pistons
60%
New York Knicks
40%
Apr 24, 2025
Detroit Pistons
0 : 0
New York Knicks
Apr 21, 2025
New York Knicks
94 : 100
Detroit Pistons
Apr 19, 2025
New York Knicks
123 : 112
Detroit Pistons
Apr 10, 2025
Detroit Pistons
115 : 106
New York Knicks
Jan 14, 2025
New York Knicks
119 : 124
Detroit Pistons
Dec 8, 2024
New York Knicks
111 : 120
Detroit Pistons
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