Eastern Conference leaders Columbus Crew host the unpredictable San Jose Earthquakes in what promises to be a high-scoring MLS showdown this Saturday evening at Lower.com Field.
Despite coming off a narrow 1-0 loss to Inter Miami, Columbus remains the clear favorite against a San Jose side that has hemorrhaged goals recently, including a wild 5-3 defeat to Sporting Kansas City in their last outing.
With both teams showing offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities, this clash could easily surpass the over 3.5 goals mark as Diego Rossi looks to add to his team-leading six goals for the Crew.
Columbus Crew vs. SJ Earthquakes prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Columbus Crew vs SJ Earthquakes matchup, our predictive model gives the Crew a 71% chance of defeating the Earthquakes.
Pre-game probabilities
Columbus Crew
Moneyline
Win %
71%
29%
SJ Earthquakes
Columbus Crew: 71% win probability
- Excellent defensive record (Only 7 goals conceded in 9 matches)
- Strong recent form (LWWWD - 10 points from last 5 games)
- Unbeaten at home (5 wins, 3 draws from 8 home games)
SJ Earthquakes: 29% win probability
- Poor road performance (Won only 1 away match this season)
- Defensive vulnerability (Among bottom 5 in goals conceded)
- Inconsistent scoring (Averaging less than 1 goal per game on the road)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| Columbus Crew | SJ Earthquakes | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Columbus Crew vs. SJ Earthquakes preview
After a narrow 1-0 defeat to Inter Miami, Eastern Conference leaders Columbus Crew look to bounce back at home against a defensively vulnerable San Jose Earthquakes side that just shipped five goals to Sporting Kansas City.
The Crew have been clinical this season with Diego Rossi leading their attack with six goals, though they'll need to capitalize on the scoring chances they created but couldn't finish against Miami.
San Jose's Bruce Arena has assembled an unpredictable squad capable of both brilliance—evidenced by their 6-1 thrashing of DC United—and collapse, having conceded seven goals in their last two defeats.
The attacking duo of Cristian Arango and Josef Martínez gives the Earthquakes firepower, with Arango matching Rossi's six-goal tally and Carlos Espinoza providing exceptional service with six assists this campaign.
Recent history between these MLS veterans points to a high-scoring affair, with San Jose creating seven big chances and firing 23 shots in their last outing despite the defensive collapse.
Columbus Crew vs. SJ Earthquakes form
Columbus Crew vs. SJ Earthquakes head to head
Columbus Crew
50%
SJ Earthquakes
50%
Mar 5, 2022
SJ Earthquakes
3 : 3
Columbus Crew
Aug 4, 2019
SJ Earthquakes
1 : 1
Columbus Crew
Apr 28, 2018
Columbus Crew
2 : 1
SJ Earthquakes
Aug 6, 2017
SJ Earthquakes
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Aug 27, 2016
Columbus Crew
2 : 0
SJ Earthquakes
May 17, 2015
SJ Earthquakes
2 : 0
Columbus Crew
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