Orlando City SC hosts Atlanta United at Inter & Co Stadium on Saturday night in an Eastern Conference clash where both sides desperately need to rediscover their scoring touch after recent goal droughts.
The home side sits seventh in the conference with 13 points and has gone scoreless in three straight matches despite their solid defensive work, while Atlanta United arrives in poor form with just one win in their last eight games and only one goal in their previous three outings.
With both teams struggling in the final third and three of their last four meetings finishing under 2.5 goals, expect a tight, low-scoring affair as Oscar Pareja's men look to capitalize on home advantage.
Orlando City vs. Atlanta United prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Orlando City vs Atlanta United matchup, our predictive model gives the Lions a 62% chance of defeating the Five Stripes.
Pre-game probabilities
Orlando City
Moneyline
Win %
62%
38%
Atlanta United
Orlando City: 62% win probability
- Unbeaten in last five matches (DDDWW)
- Defensive stability (12 goals conceded in 9 games)
- Strong home field advantage (7th in Eastern Conference standings)
Atlanta United: 38% win probability
- Poor defensive record (16 goals conceded in 9 matches)
- Inconsistent recent form (LLDWD)
- Road struggles (contributing to their lower 12th place standing)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking..
| Orlando City | Atlanta United | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Orlando City vs. Atlanta United preview
Orlando City welcomes Atlanta United to Inter & Co Stadium on Saturday night with both Eastern Conference sides eager to snap concerning winless runs.
The Lions sit seventh in the standings but have gone three straight matches without a goal despite their otherwise solid defensive record of just two conceded in their last five outings.
Atlanta's struggles run deeper - they've managed just one win in their last eight games and were thoroughly outplayed in a 3-0 defeat to Philadelphia last weekend despite enjoying 72% possession.
Oscar Pareja's Orlando squad has history on their side with the head-to-head matchups frequently producing cagey, low-scoring affairs - three of the last four meetings between these rivals have finished with under 2.5 total goals.
With Orlando missing creative midfielder César Araujo and Atlanta potentially without star striker Latte Lath, who leads them with five goals this season, don't expect a goalfest in central Florida.
Orlando City vs. Atlanta United form
Orlando City vs. Atlanta United head to head
Orlando City
40%
Atlanta United
60%
Nov 24, 2024
Orlando City
1 : 0
Atlanta United
Oct 19, 2024
Orlando City
1 : 2
Atlanta United
Mar 17, 2024
Atlanta United
2 : 0
Orlando City
Jul 15, 2023
Atlanta United
1 : 2
Orlando City
May 27, 2023
Orlando City
1 : 1
Atlanta United
Sep 14, 2022
Orlando City
0 : 1
Atlanta United
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