Unbeaten Inter Miami look to climb to the top of the Eastern Conference as they host FC Dallas on Sunday at Chase Stadium, with Lionel Messi's squad boasting the stingiest defense in MLS with just six goals conceded in eight matches.
FC Dallas enters the fixture struggling for offensive firepower, coming off a scoreless draw against Minnesota and having netted just four goals in their last five matches despite solid defensive performances.
Inter Miami vs. Dallas prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Inter Miami vs Dallas matchup, our predictive model gives the Miami a 81.67% chance of defeating the Dallas.
Pre-game probabilities
Inter Miami
Moneyline
Win %
81.67%
18.33%
Dallas
Inter Miami: 81.67% win probability
- Undefeated season (5 wins, 3 draws in 8 games)
- Solid defensive record (only 6 goals conceded in 8 matches)
- Strong recent form (WDDWW in last five games)
Dallas: 18.33% win probability
- Not present in the Eastern Conference top 15 standings
- Likely struggling for form compared to Miami's unbeaten run
- Will face difficulty against Miami's defense that allows just 0.75 goals per game
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| Inter Miami | Dallas | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Inter Miami vs. Dallas preview
Inter Miami's rock-solid defense has been their secret weapon this season, conceding just six goals in eight matches as they remain unbeaten in MLS heading into Sunday's clash with Dallas.
The Herons suffered a setback midweek with a 2-0 loss to Vancouver in the CONCACAF Champions League, but their domestic form remains stellar with Lionel Messi leading the charge as the team's top scorer with eight goals.
Dallas have slowly climbed into the Western Conference playoff places thanks to their own defensive resilience, allowing just three goals in their last five matches.
However, Eric Quill's side continues to struggle offensively, as evidenced by their recent 0-0 stalemate against Minnesota – their third consecutive match featuring under 2.5 goals.
With both sides boasting among the strongest defenses in MLS, fans at Chase Stadium shouldn't expect a goal-fest, but Miami's attacking quality gives them a clear edge as they look to potentially move top of the Eastern Conference with a win.
Inter Miami vs. Dallas form
Inter Miami vs. Dallas head to head
Inter Miami
0%
Dallas
40%
Apr 8, 2023
Inter Miami
0 : 1
Dallas
Jul 5, 2022
Dallas
1 : 1
Inter Miami
Oct 29, 2020
Dallas
2 : 1
Inter Miami
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