The Los Angeles Kings look to regain momentum and take a commanding 3-1 series lead when they clash with the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place on Sunday night after suffering a 7-4 defeat in Game 3.
Despite Los Angeles winning six of their last eight games, Edmonton's offensive firepower was on full display last time out, with Connor McDavid continuing to orchestrate the Oilers' attack with seven points in the series so far.
With both teams converting power plays at impressive rates and combining for 30 goals through three games, fans should expect another high-scoring battle in what's becoming one of the playoffs' most explosive series.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Edmonton Oilers vs Los Angeles Kings matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 50.67% chance of defeating the Oilers.
Pre-game probabilities
Los Angeles Kings
Moneyline
Win %
50.67%
49.33%
Edmonton Oilers
Los Angeles Kings: 50.67% win probability
- Superior defensive record (206 goals against compared to Edmonton's 236)
- Better overall standing (4th in Western Conference vs Edmonton's 6th)
- Impressive recent form (4-1-0 in last five games compared to Edmonton's 3-2-0)
Edmonton Oilers: 49.33% win probability
- Vulnerable defense (236 goals against, ranking 9th in Western Conference)
- Lower overall points tally (101 points vs LA's 105)
- Home ice advantage neutralized by Kings' solid road performance (Kings finished 4th with 48 wins versus Oilers' 48 wins but 6th place finish)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Edmonton Oilers | Los Angeles Kings | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings preview
With the series hanging in the balance at 2-1 in favor of Los Angeles, the Oilers aim to build on their explosive 7-4 victory as they host the Kings in Game 4 at Rogers Place Sunday night.
Edmonton's offensive firepower finally broke through in Game 3, with Connor McDavid orchestrating the attack while contributing two goals and five assists in the series so far.
The Kings, despite dropping Game 3, have been an offensive juggernaut themselves, averaging an eye-popping 5.33 goals per game in this high-scoring playoff matchup that has consistently blown past the 6-goal total.
Darcy Kuemper (2-1, 4.04 GAA) will look to recover from a shaky performance where he allowed 5 goals on 34 shots, while the Oilers hope their special teams advantage (23% power play success vs. Kings' 17%) continues to be a difference-maker.
Neither defense has impressed in the series—a shocking development for a Los Angeles squad that ranked second in the NHL in goals against during the regular season.
The Kings will rely heavily on Adrian Kempe's hot hand (four goals, five assists) as they attempt to steal another road game and take a commanding 3-1 series lead back to California.
Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings form
Edmonton Oilers vs. Los Angeles Kings head to head
Edmonton Oilers
33%
Los Angeles Kings
67%
Apr 26, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
7 : 4
Los Angeles Kings
Apr 24, 2025
Los Angeles Kings
6 : 2
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 22, 2025
Los Angeles Kings
6 : 5
Edmonton Oilers
Apr 15, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
0 : 5
Los Angeles Kings
Apr 5, 2025
Los Angeles Kings
3 : 0
Edmonton Oilers
Jan 14, 2025
Edmonton Oilers
1 : 0
Los Angeles Kings
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