Heat vs Cavaliers Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 4/28/2025

The Cleveland Cavaliers look to complete a clean sweep of the Miami Heat in Game 4 on Monday night at Kaseya Center, holding a commanding 3-0 series lead after Saturday's dominant 124-87 blowout victory.

Cleveland has overwhelmed Miami in every facet of the series, averaging 122 points per game while the injury-depleted Heat struggle to mount any sustainable offense beyond brief early-game surges.

With no NBA team ever overcoming a 3-0 playoff deficit in 158 previous attempts, Miami faces nearly impossible odds to extend their season as Cleveland aims to secure their spot in the Eastern Conference semifinals.

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.

Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

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Miami Heat vs. Cleveland Cavaliers preview

It's win-or-go-home for the Miami Heat as they face a daunting 3-0 series deficit against a red-hot Cleveland Cavaliers squad that's shown no mercy thus far in the first-round matchup.

The Cavaliers have steamrolled Miami with an offensive juggernaut averaging 122 points through three games, including Saturday's 124-87 blowout that marked the worst playoff loss in Heat franchise history.

Cleveland's balanced attack, featuring six players reaching double figures in Game 3, has overwhelmed a Heat defense that simply hasn't found answers, particularly after Jarrett Allen's commanding 22-point, 10-rebound performance.

Miami's early leads in Games 2 and 3 evaporated quickly against Cleveland's precision shooting (53.5% from the field in Game 3) and dominance on the glass (46-29 rebounding advantage).

The Heat will need more than Bam Adebayo's 22-point effort from Saturday, especially with Tyler Herro struggling to maintain consistent production and Terry Rozier sidelined with an ankle injury.

History looms large at Kaseya Center with no NBA team ever climbing out of a 3-0 playoff hole, but Miami will desperately try to avoid the sweep against a Cavaliers team eyeing its first playoff series victory since LeBron James departed in 2018.

Key stats

1

Cleveland sits 1st in the Eastern Conference with 64 wins and 18 losses, showing dominant form throughout the season

2

Miami ranks 10th in the East with a 37-45 record, struggling to maintain consistency

3

The Cavaliers boast a positive point differential, scoring 9999 points while allowing 9217 (+782)

4

Recent form heavily favors Cleveland (LWLWL) over Miami's inconsistent showing (LWLWL)

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