The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars clash in a pivotal Game 5 at American Airlines Center on Monday with the first-round playoff series deadlocked at 2-2 after Colorado's dominant 4-0 shutout win in Game 4.
The Stars, who won 28 of 41 regular-season home games, look to reestablish control on home ice where they'll need to slow Colorado's relentless attack while finding ways to penetrate the Avalanche defense.
Dallas continues to miss leading goal-scorer Jason Robertson while Colorado received an emotional boost from captain Gabriel Landeskog who scored his first goal in nearly three years during Saturday's convincing victory.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 62% chance of defeating the Avs.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
62%
38%
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars: 62% win probability
- Strong overall record (50 wins, ranking 3rd in Western Conference)
- Home ice advantage (crucial in divisional matchups)
- Better defensive efficiency (224 goals against compared to Colorado's 234)
Colorado Avalanche: 38% win probability
- Recent form struggles (WLLWL in last five games)
- Lower conference position (5th vs Stars' 3rd in Western Conference)
- Road performance issues (contributing to lower overall point total of 102 vs Stars' 106)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Dallas Stars | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
Best NHL sportsbook promos
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche preview
The Colorado Avalanche have roared back into this first-round Western Conference series, leveling things at 2-2 with a dominant 4-0 shutout in Game 4 where captain Gabriel Landeskog provided an emotional spark with his first goal in nearly three years.
With the series shifting back to Dallas for a crucial Game 5, the Stars will lean heavily on their impressive 28-13 home record from the regular season to regain momentum.
Jake Oettinger faces a significant challenge after being peppered with shots in Game 4, eventually giving way to Casey DeSmith after making 31 saves through two periods.
Colorado's speed created havoc for Dallas in the last matchup, with the Avalanche outshooting the Stars by a lopsided 48-23 margin and finally finding space for odd-man rushes that had been largely absent earlier in the series.
The Stars continue to miss leading goal-scorer Jason Robertson, though Tyler Seguin has stepped up with a team-high two playoff goals.
Monday's showdown at American Airlines Center will likely hinge on Dallas' ability to slow Colorado's relentless attack while finding ways to penetrate Mackenzie Blackwood's defense after the netminder recorded his first career playoff shutout.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche form
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head
Dallas Stars
33%
Colorado Avalanche
67%
Apr 27, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
4 : 0
Dallas Stars
Apr 24, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
Apr 22, 2025
Dallas Stars
4 : 3
Colorado Avalanche
Apr 20, 2025
Dallas Stars
1 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
Mar 16, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
4 : 3
Dallas Stars
Jan 18, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
6 : 3
Dallas Stars
Betting on the NHL?
Sporting Post is your trusted guide for NHL betting. We offer expert NHL predictions, top NHL picks, and the latest NHL odds. Our analysis and real-time insights help you make smart, confident bets. Make sure to use the best sportsbooks, sports betting apps, and betting sites. We've reviewed and tested the best NHL betting sites here.
Share this post
Related
