The Vegas Golden Knights look to ride their momentum into Game 5 against the Minnesota Wild in a pivotal Western Conference first-round series that's deadlocked at 2-2 after Vegas claimed a hard-fought overtime victory in Game 4.
While the Wild's offensive duo of Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy has combined for eight goals in the series, Golden Knights goaltender Adin Hill must improve upon his .854 save percentage if Vegas hopes to take command on home ice at T-Mobile Arena.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Vegas Golden Knights vs Minnesota Wild matchup, our predictive model gives the Knights a 58.33% chance of defeating the Wild.
Pre-game probabilities
Vegas Golden Knights
Moneyline
Win %
58.33%
41.67%
Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights: 58.33% win probability
- Superior overall record (50-22, 110 points vs Wild's 45-30, 97 points)
- Explosive offense (275 goals scored, ranking 6th in the Western Conference)
- Home ice advantage as the 2nd place team in the Western Conference
Minnesota Wild: 41.67% win probability
- Defensive vulnerabilities (239 goals against, significantly higher than Vegas's 219)
- Lower point total despite similar games played (97 points vs Vegas's 110)
- Challenging road matchup against a top-tier Western Conference team
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts.
Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
| Vegas Golden Knights | Minnesota Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild preview
The Vegas Golden Knights host the Minnesota Wild for Game 5 of their electrifying first-round playoff series, deadlocked at 2-2 after Vegas clawed back with a momentum-shifting overtime victory in Game 4.
Minnesota's high-powered offense has netted 15 goals in four games behind the stellar play of Kirill Kaprizov and Matt Boldy, who have combined for eight goals and six assists, yet their defense has shown concerning cracks lately.
The Golden Knights will look to capitalize on home ice at T-Mobile Arena where Tomas Hertl and Nicolas Roy have been difference-makers, contributing four goals and four assists between them in the series.
Goaltending tells the tale of two different stories: Minnesota's Filip Gustavsson has been impressive with 125 saves on 136 shots, while Vegas netminder Adin Hill has struggled, allowing 13 goals on just 89 shots.
Special teams could prove decisive as the Golden Knights converted twice on the power play in Game 4, a significant improvement for a Vegas squad that's now found its scoring touch after a sluggish offensive start to the series.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild form
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Minnesota Wild head to head
Vegas Golden Knights
67%
Minnesota Wild
33%
Apr 26, 2025
Minnesota Wild
3 : 4
Vegas Golden Knights
Apr 25, 2025
Minnesota Wild
5 : 2
Vegas Golden Knights
Apr 23, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
2 : 5
Minnesota Wild
Apr 21, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
4 : 2
Minnesota Wild
Mar 26, 2025
Minnesota Wild
1 : 5
Vegas Golden Knights
Jan 13, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights
4 : 1
Minnesota Wild
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