The Knicks will look to close out their Eastern Conference First Round series against the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday night, where Detroit holds a significant historical hurdle having lost nine consecutive home playoff games since 2008.

After dropping Game 5 in a tight 106-103 contest, New York needs Jalen Brunson to bounce back from his uncharacteristic 4-of-16 shooting performance while Detroit hopes Cade Cunningham builds on his 24-point effort to force a decisive Game 7.

With the Pistons entering as slim 1.5-point favorites, this elimination game features two teams trending in opposite directions—Detroit finding newfound confidence and New York aiming to recapture their winning formula.

Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 58% chance of defeating the Pistons.

New York Knicks: 58% win probability

  • Higher season win total (51 wins vs 44 for Detroit)
  • Better defensive efficiency (9158 points allowed vs 9315 for Detroit)
  • Higher conference standing (3rd in East vs 6th for Detroit)

Detroit Pistons: 42% win probability

  • Poor recent form (LLWLL compared to Knicks' WLLLW)
  • Weaker offensive production (9471 points scored vs 9494 for Knicks)
  • Lower overall win percentage (44-38 record vs 51-31 for Knicks)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks odds

Here are the latest odds as the Detroit Pistons host the New York Knicks in NBA action on Thursday, May 01.

Detroit PistonsNew York Knicks
Moneyline-118 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+105 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

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Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks preview

The Knicks head to Detroit with their momentum stalled after falling short 106-103 in Game 5, leaving them one win away from clinching this first-round Eastern Conference series at 3-2.

Jalen Brunson's uncharacteristic struggles (4-of-16 shooting) proved costly for New York, despite six players hitting double figures in a balanced offensive effort.

The Pistons, showing remarkable resilience with their season on the line, rode Cade Cunningham's 24-point, 8-rebound, 8-assist performance despite his own shooting challenges.

Detroit's home court hasn't exactly been a playoff fortress—they've lost nine consecutive playoff games at Little Caesars Arena since 2008—but Tuesday's clutch defensive stands showed this young squad isn't ready for vacation yet.

With OG Anunoby emerging as a consistent force for New York and Ausar Thompson coming alive with 22 points in Game 5, the battle between these defensive-minded teams could come down to which supporting cast steps up under pressure.

The thin 1.5-point spread reflects just how evenly matched these teams have become as they enter what should be a physical, defensive-minded Game 6 showdown.

Key stats

  • 1
    The Knicks sit 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a 51-31 record this season
  • 2
    New York boasts a solid +336 point differential (9494 scored, 9158 allowed)
  • 3
    Detroit holds 6th place in the East with a 44-38 record but has lost 3 of their last 5 games
  • 4
    The Pistons have a +156 point differential (9471 scored, 9315 allowed), significantly lower than New York's margin

Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks form

Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Apr 29, 2025
New York Knicks103:106Detroit Pistons
Apr 27, 2025
New York Knicks94:93Detroit Pistons
Apr 24, 2025
New York Knicks118:116Detroit Pistons
Apr 21, 2025
New York Knicks94:100Detroit Pistons
Apr 19, 2025
New York Knicks123:112Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Apr 29, 2025
Detroit Pistons106:103New York Knicks
Apr 27, 2025
Detroit Pistons93:94New York Knicks
Apr 24, 2025
Detroit Pistons116:118New York Knicks
Apr 21, 2025
Detroit Pistons100:94New York Knicks
Apr 19, 2025
Detroit Pistons112:123New York Knicks

Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks head to head

Detroit Pistons

20%

New York Knicks

80%

May 1, 2025

Detroit Pistons

0 : 0

New York Knicks

Apr 29, 2025

New York Knicks

103 : 106

Detroit Pistons

Apr 27, 2025

Detroit Pistons

93 : 94

New York Knicks

Apr 24, 2025

Detroit Pistons

116 : 118

New York Knicks

Apr 21, 2025

New York Knicks

94 : 100

Detroit Pistons

Apr 19, 2025

New York Knicks

123 : 112

Detroit Pistons

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