The Knicks will look to close out their Eastern Conference First Round series against the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday night, where Detroit holds a significant historical hurdle having lost nine consecutive home playoff games since 2008.
After dropping Game 5 in a tight 106-103 contest, New York needs Jalen Brunson to bounce back from his uncharacteristic 4-of-16 shooting performance while Detroit hopes Cade Cunningham builds on his 24-point effort to force a decisive Game 7.
With the Pistons entering as slim 1.5-point favorites, this elimination game features two teams trending in opposite directions—Detroit finding newfound confidence and New York aiming to recapture their winning formula.
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks matchup, our predictive model gives the Knicks a 58% chance of defeating the Pistons.
Pre-game probabilities
New York Knicks
Moneyline
Win %
58%
42%
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks: 58% win probability
- Higher season win total (51 wins vs 44 for Detroit)
- Better defensive efficiency (9158 points allowed vs 9315 for Detroit)
- Higher conference standing (3rd in East vs 6th for Detroit)
Detroit Pistons: 42% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLWLL compared to Knicks' WLLLW)
- Weaker offensive production (9471 points scored vs 9494 for Knicks)
- Lower overall win percentage (44-38 record vs 51-31 for Knicks)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| Detroit Pistons | New York Knicks | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks preview
The Knicks head to Detroit with their momentum stalled after falling short 106-103 in Game 5, leaving them one win away from clinching this first-round Eastern Conference series at 3-2.
Jalen Brunson's uncharacteristic struggles (4-of-16 shooting) proved costly for New York, despite six players hitting double figures in a balanced offensive effort.
The Pistons, showing remarkable resilience with their season on the line, rode Cade Cunningham's 24-point, 8-rebound, 8-assist performance despite his own shooting challenges.
Detroit's home court hasn't exactly been a playoff fortress—they've lost nine consecutive playoff games at Little Caesars Arena since 2008—but Tuesday's clutch defensive stands showed this young squad isn't ready for vacation yet.
With OG Anunoby emerging as a consistent force for New York and Ausar Thompson coming alive with 22 points in Game 5, the battle between these defensive-minded teams could come down to which supporting cast steps up under pressure.
The thin 1.5-point spread reflects just how evenly matched these teams have become as they enter what should be a physical, defensive-minded Game 6 showdown.
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks form
Detroit Pistons vs. New York Knicks head to head
Detroit Pistons
20%
New York Knicks
80%
May 1, 2025
Detroit Pistons
0 : 0
New York Knicks
Apr 29, 2025
New York Knicks
103 : 106
Detroit Pistons
Apr 27, 2025
Detroit Pistons
93 : 94
New York Knicks
Apr 24, 2025
Detroit Pistons
116 : 118
New York Knicks
Apr 21, 2025
New York Knicks
94 : 100
Detroit Pistons
Apr 19, 2025
New York Knicks
123 : 112
Detroit Pistons
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