NBA Best Bets Today: Expert NBA Betting Picks for 05/02/2025

The Warriors and Rockets have played high-scoring affairs in their recent meetings, with Game 5 producing a massive 247 total points despite Steph Curry having an off night with just 13 points.

Multiple role players are stepping up in this series, with Golden State getting consistent contributions from Hield, Podziemski, and Moody, while Houston had all five starters in double figures last game.

The total has remained steady between 203-205 points throughout most of the series despite the recent scoring explosion, suggesting potential value on the over.

It's unlikely Curry stays quiet for consecutive playoff games, and his bounce-back performance should help push this game over the total.

With elimination pressure on Golden State at home, expect an uptempo, aggressive offensive approach from both squads in what should be another high-scoring contest.

The underdog has covered in six of the last ten meetings between these teams, and most games in this series have been decided in the fourth quarter.

Houston dominated Game 5 with a 131-116 victory and now has momentum, while Golden State's depth concerns become more pronounced the longer this series extends.

The Warriors are just 4-7-1 ATS in their last 12 games when favored by four or more points, showing vulnerability in this exact betting scenario.

Golden State's core players were seen laughing on the bench during the Game 5 loss, which could indicate overconfidence rather than the focused approach needed in a close-out game.

With the Rockets winning nine of their last ten games following a home win and underdogs covering five of the Warriors' last six home games against winning Western Conference teams, Houston has strong trends supporting them.

Curry is coming off a disappointing 13-point performance on just 4-for-12 shooting in Game 5, and he's averaging 23.4 points in this series according to the expert analysis.

Star players typically bounce back after poor shooting nights, especially in elimination games at home where Curry has historically thrived.

With the Warriors looking to close out the series and avoid a Game 7, they'll likely run their offense through their best player in key moments.

The Rockets will be focused on maintaining their defensive intensity from Game 5, but Curry's ability to create his own shot and get hot from three-point range makes him difficult to contain for consecutive games.

While not explicitly mentioned as a prop bet in the articles, the scoring averages and game context strongly suggest Curry will exceed his series average in this pivotal home game.