Atlanta United will be desperate to snap their three-game losing streak as they welcome a red-hot Nashville SC side that just demolished Chicago Fire 7-2 in their previous outing.
The Five Stripes have failed to score in three consecutive matches while conceding six goals, creating mounting pressure on Ronny Deila's squad ahead of this crucial Eastern Conference clash.
Nashville, powered by Sam Surridge's four-goal performance last weekend and historically strong against Atlanta with three wins in their last six meetings, poses a significant threat to the struggling home side.
Atlanta United vs. Nashville SC prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta United vs Nashville SC matchup, our predictive model gives the Uniteds a 70% chance of defeating the Boys in Gold.
Atlanta United: 70% win probability
- Home field advantage (Atlanta has secured 7 of their 9 points at home this season)
- Attacking potential (Atlanta has scored 11 goals this season despite their low position)
- Must-win momentum (Atlanta desperately needs points as they sit 12th in the Eastern Conference)
Nashville SC: 30% win probability
- Poor recent form (Nashville has lost 3 of their last 5 matches - WLWLL)
- Defensive vulnerability (Nashville has conceded 13 goals in 10 matches)
- Road struggles (Nashville has collected fewer points away from home this season)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge. Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
Atlanta United vs. Nashville SC odds
Here are the latest odds as Atlanta United hosts Nashville SC in MLS action on Saturday, May 03.
| Atlanta United | Nashville SC | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125 (via bet365 US) | +350 (via bet365 US) | 260 ( via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
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Atlanta United vs. Nashville SC preview
Atlanta United face an uphill battle as they welcome Nashville SC to Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Saturday, looking to snap a troubling three-game losing streak during which they've failed to score a single goal.
Nashville arrives in blistering form after an astonishing 7-2 demolition of Chicago Fire last weekend, with Sam Surridge netting four goals in a performance that will have Atlanta's struggling defense on high alert.
The visitors have dominated recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters including a comfortable 2-0 victory at this very stadium last September.
Atlanta's defensive woes—having conceded three goals in back-to-back matches—could prove costly against a Nashville attack that has scored in each of their last seven MLS outings.
Both sides are dealing with injury concerns, with Edwin Mosquera and Derrick Williams sidelined for the hosts, while Nashville will be without Tyler Boyd, Maximus Ekk, and the influential Walker Zimmerman.
Given that four of the last six meetings between these teams have produced at least four goals, fans at Mercedes-Benz Stadium might be in for an entertaining, high-scoring affair despite Atlanta's recent offensive drought.
Key stats
- 1Nashville SC sits 6th in the table with 16 points but has lost 3 of their last 5 matches (WLWLL)
- 2Atlanta United has struggled significantly, sitting 12th with only 9 points from 10 matches
- 3Nashville has scored 19 goals (tied for 3rd most in the conference) while Atlanta has managed just 11
- 4Atlanta United's defense has conceded 19 goals while Nashville has allowed 13, giving Nashville a +6 goal difference advantage
Atlanta United vs. Nashville SC form
Atlanta United vs. Nashville SC head to head
Atlanta United
33%
Nashville SC
67%
Sep 14, 2024
Atlanta United
0 : 2
Nashville SC
May 18, 2024
Nashville SC
1 : 1
Atlanta United
Aug 26, 2023
Atlanta United
4 : 0
Nashville SC
Apr 29, 2023
Nashville SC
3 : 1
Atlanta United
May 21, 2022
Nashville SC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
May 12, 2022
Nashville SC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
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