Inter Miami looks to rebound from three consecutive defeats when they host New York Red Bulls at Chase Stadium this Saturday night in MLS action.
The Herons, coming off a disappointing CONCACAF Champions Cup semi-final exit against Vancouver, face a Red Bulls side that has been defensively solid on the road with three of their four away games this season producing under 2.5 goals.
Inter Miami vs. New York RB prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Inter Miami vs New York RB matchup, our predictive model gives the Herons a 64% chance of defeating the Red Bulls.
Pre-game probabilities
Inter Miami
Moneyline
Win %
64%
36%
New York RB
Inter Miami: 64% win probability
- Excellent home form (Recent form shows LWDDW with strong momentum)
- Potent attack (16 goals scored in just 9 games, averaging 1.78 goals per match)
- Higher position in standings (5th place with 18 points from 9 games, showing consistency)
New York RB: 36% win probability
- Inconsistent recent form (WLDWL showing inability to string together consecutive wins)
- Struggles in attack (Only 11 goals in 10 matches, among the lower half in the Eastern Conference)
- Away game vulnerability (Currently 8th in the standings with 15 points despite playing a full 10 games, suggesting road struggles)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top MLS experts to give you a clear edge.
Rather than digging through countless opinions, you can rely on our predictions to reflect the broader market sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, team data, and betting trends—then our AI assigns a confidence score to each prediction. These scores are averaged to create an 'expert opinion' win probability, offering a data-driven snapshot of what the smartest minds in MLS are thinking.
| Inter Miami | New York RB | Draw | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Inter Miami vs. New York RB preview
Inter Miami faces a critical bounce-back opportunity against New York Red Bulls at Chase Stadium this Saturday, with the hosts looking to snap a concerning three-game losing streak across all competitions.
The Herons' week has been particularly brutal, suffering elimination from the CONCACAF Champions Cup at the hands of Vancouver Whitecaps and dropping points at home against FC Dallas.
New York comes in with some newfound defensive stability, having ground out a 1-0 home win against CF Montreal last weekend, though their road form remains questionable with just one win from six away matches this season.
While Miami games have often featured goalscoring fireworks, including an 8-goal thriller in their last meeting with the Red Bulls, recent trends suggest a tighter affair might be on the cards with three of Miami's last four MLS contests seeing fewer than three goals.
The visitors have been particularly goal-shy on their travels, scoring just four times in four away fixtures while conceding at the same rate.
All eyes will be on Lionel Messi – Miami's top scorer with 8 goals – to spark the hosts' revival, though injuries to key midfielder Diego Ruiz could complicate Javier Mascherano's tactical approach.
Inter Miami vs. New York RB form
Inter Miami vs. New York RB head to head
Inter Miami
50%
New York RB
50%
May 4, 2024
Inter Miami
6 : 2
New York RB
Mar 23, 2024
New York RB
4 : 0
Inter Miami
Aug 26, 2023
New York RB
0 : 2
Inter Miami
May 31, 2023
Inter Miami
0 : 1
New York RB
Aug 27, 2022
New York RB
3 : 1
Inter Miami
May 22, 2022
Inter Miami
2 : 0
New York RB
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