The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers are set for a dramatic winner-take-all Game 7 showdown at Ball Arena this Saturday, with the series deadlocked at 3-3 after the Clippers' gutsy 111-105 win in Game 6.
Both teams have shown their championship mettle throughout this back-and-forth series, with stars Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray battling against the veteran Clippers duo of Kawhi Leonard and James Harden.
With identical 50-32 regular season records and a 5-5 head-to-head record this season, this decisive game promises to be a fitting climax to what has been an evenly-matched and intensely competitive first-round playoff series.
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers matchup, our predictive model gives the Clippers a 52% chance of defeating the Nuggets.
Pre-game probabilities
Los Angeles Clippers
Moneyline
Win %
52%
48%
Denver Nuggets
Los Angeles Clippers: 52% win probability
- Exceptional recent form (5-0 in last 5 games, only team in Western Conference with perfect recent record)
- Defensive efficiency (Allowed only 8874 points against, second-best defense in Western Conference)
- Season series momentum (Maintaining win probability despite playing on the road against a higher-ranked opponent)
Denver Nuggets: 48% win probability
- Recent inconsistency (2-3 in their last 5 games with back-to-back losses in most recent outings)
- Defensive vulnerability (Allowed 9583 points, fourth-most among Western Conference playoff teams)
- Offensive dependency (Heavy reliance on scoring volume with 9902 points scored, but less efficient than the Clippers' balanced approach)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts.
Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
| Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Clippers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers preview
The Clippers and Nuggets are headed to a winner-take-all Game 7 showdown in Denver after LA staved off elimination with a gutsy 111-105 victory on Thursday night.
This series couldn't be more evenly matched—the teams split their regular season meetings and now sit deadlocked at 3-3, with both having shown they can win on the other's home court.
The coaching matchup looms large with playoff-tested Tyronn Lue facing interim head coach David Adelman, who lacks the postseason pedigree of his counterpart.
Denver's offense has found its rhythm, shooting over 50% in back-to-back games, though Nikola Jokic struggled uncharacteristically in the second half of Game 6, going just 2-for-9 from the field.
James Harden and Kawhi Leonard have hit their stride for the Clippers, combining for 55 points in Game 6, while Norman Powell continues to provide crucial scoring punch off the bench.
History favors the home team in Game 7s, but the Clippers' veteran savvy and superior depth could prove decisive as they look to advance past the first round for the first time since 2021.
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers form
Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Clippers head to head
Denver Nuggets
40%
Los Angeles Clippers
60%
May 3, 2025
Denver Nuggets
0 : 0
Los Angeles Clippers
May 2, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers
111 : 105
Denver Nuggets
Apr 30, 2025
Denver Nuggets
131 : 115
Los Angeles Clippers
Apr 26, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers
99 : 101
Denver Nuggets
Apr 25, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers
117 : 83
Denver Nuggets
Apr 22, 2025
Denver Nuggets
102 : 105
Los Angeles Clippers
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