The Colorado Avalanche and Dallas Stars face off in a decisive Game 7 showdown at American Airlines Center on Saturday, with everything on the line after Colorado forced the winner-take-all matchup with a commanding 7-4 victory in Game 6.
Both teams have shown their offensive firepower throughout this back-and-forth Western Conference first-round series, with the Stars holding a slight edge on home ice where they've gone 2-1 against the Avalanche.
Key injuries could determine the outcome as Dallas hopes to have Jason Robertson and Miro Heiskanen back in the lineup, while Colorado will continue without Ross Colton as Nathan MacKinnon looks to build on his series-leading 10 points.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction: who will win?
For today's Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 63.67% chance of defeating the Avs.
Pre-game probabilities
Dallas Stars
Moneyline
Win %
63.67%
36.33%
Colorado Avalanche
Dallas Stars: 63.67% win probability
- Higher league position (3rd in Western Conference compared to Colorado's 5th)
- Stronger defensive record (224 goals against vs. Colorado's 234)
- Home ice advantage (crucial for Dallas's playing style)
Colorado Avalanche: 36.33% win probability
- Poor recent form (WLLWL in last five games)
- Higher goals against tally (234 compared to Dallas's 224)
- Weaker road performance (contributing to their lower points total of 102 vs. Dallas's 106)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts..
| Dallas Stars | Colorado Avalanche | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline |
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Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche preview
The Dallas Stars and Colorado Avalanche will square off in a winner-take-all Game 7 showdown at American Airlines Center on Saturday, with the series deadlocked at 3-3 following Colorado's explosive 7-4 victory in Game 6.
Nathan MacKinnon has been the driving force behind Colorado's offense, leading the Avalanche with six goals and ten points in the series, including a pivotal flukey goal in the third period of Thursday's contest that shifted momentum.
Dallas, who holds a 2-1 edge in games played on home ice this series, could receive a significant boost with potential returns of star defenseman Miro Heiskanen and leading regular-season goal-scorer Jason Robertson, both listed as questionable.
Jake Oettinger made 41 saves despite allowing seven goals in Game 6, as the Stars were heavily outshot 48-26 by a Colorado attack that finally broke through on the road after scoring just five goals in three away games this series.
The home team has largely controlled this back-and-forth affair, with high-scoring affairs becoming the norm – the total has gone over in six of the last nine meetings between these clubs, including nine of Colorado's last ten visits to Dallas.
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche form
Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head
Dallas Stars
50%
Colorado Avalanche
50%
May 2, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
7 : 4
Dallas Stars
Apr 29, 2025
Dallas Stars
6 : 2
Colorado Avalanche
Apr 27, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
4 : 0
Dallas Stars
Apr 24, 2025
Colorado Avalanche
1 : 2
Dallas Stars
Apr 22, 2025
Dallas Stars
4 : 3
Colorado Avalanche
Apr 20, 2025
Dallas Stars
1 : 5
Colorado Avalanche
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